Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 66.01%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Minai had a probability of 12.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.52%) and 1-2 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for a Minai win it was 1-0 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zorya Luhansk would win this match.