Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 69.99%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 12.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 1-0 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.94%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 1-2 (3.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | Gil Vicente |
| 69.99% ( | 17.23% ( | 12.78% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.25% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.95% ( | 35.05% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.95% ( | 57.05% ( |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.02% ( | 8.97% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.39% ( | 30.61% |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.7% ( | 39.3% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.99% ( | 76% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Porto | Draw | Gil Vicente |
| 2-0 @ 10.24% 2-1 @ 9.57% 1-0 @ 8.5% 3-0 @ 8.24% 3-1 @ 7.69% ( 4-0 @ 4.97% 4-1 @ 4.64% 3-2 @ 3.59% 5-0 @ 2.39% 5-1 @ 2.24% 4-2 @ 2.17% 5-2 @ 1.04% 6-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.74% Total : 69.98% | 1-1 @ 7.94% 2-2 @ 4.47% 0-0 @ 3.53% ( 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.17% Total : 17.23% | 1-2 @ 3.71% 0-1 @ 3.29% 0-2 @ 1.54% 2-3 @ 1.39% ( 1-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.7% Total : 12.78% |