Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 58.98%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 16.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.16%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Getafe |
| 58.98% ( | 24.04% ( | 16.98% ( |
| Both teams to score 43.61% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.15% ( | 55.84% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.04% ( | 76.96% ( |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.24% ( | 18.75% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.86% ( | 50.14% ( |
| Getafe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.68% ( | 46.32% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.03% ( | 81.97% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Getafe |
| 1-0 @ 14.54% 2-0 @ 12.16% ( 2-1 @ 9.36% 3-0 @ 6.79% ( 3-1 @ 5.23% 4-0 @ 2.84% ( 4-1 @ 2.19% ( 3-2 @ 2.01% ( 5-0 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 2.9% Total : 58.97% | 1-1 @ 11.18% 0-0 @ 8.69% ( 2-2 @ 3.6% ( Other @ 0.56% Total : 24.03% | 0-1 @ 6.69% ( 1-2 @ 4.31% ( 0-2 @ 2.57% ( 1-3 @ 1.1% ( 2-3 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 1.39% Total : 16.98% |