Taca de Portugal | Third Round
Oct 20, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Estadio Joao Paulo II
Lusitania1 - 4Benfica
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Estoril 0-1 Benfica
Saturday, October 7 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, October 7 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Lusitania 0-7 Benfica
Regardless of how strong Schmidt opts to go with his starting XI, even a second or third-string Benfica side should comfortably thrash their fourth-tier opponents here. Lusitania will take encouragement from Benfica's recent struggles against lower-league opposition, but they will be completely out of their depth in this one and will just have to enjoy the occasion and remain hopeful of keeping the score down. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 92.79%. A draw had a probability of 5.5% and a win for Lusitania had a probability of 1.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-3 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-4 (12.64%) and 0-2 (11.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.62%), while for a Lusitania win it was 1-0 (0.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
Result | ||
Lusitania | Draw | Benfica |
1.7% ( -0) | 5.51% ( -0) | 92.79% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 33.34% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
77.18% ( -0) | 22.82% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
57.98% ( -0) | 42.02% ( 0) |
Lusitania Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
34.23% ( -0.02) | 65.76% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
6.67% ( -0) | 93.33% ( 0.01) |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
97.4% ( 0) | 2.6% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
87.91% ( 0) | 12.09% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Lusitania 1.7%
Benfica 92.77%
Draw 5.51%
Lusitania | Draw | Benfica |
Other @ 1.7% Total : 1.7% | 1-1 @ 2.62% ( -0) 0-0 @ 1.71% 2-2 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 5.51% | 0-3 @ 13.85% 0-4 @ 12.64% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 11.38% 0-5 @ 9.23% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.24% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.81% ( -0) 0-6 @ 5.61% ( 0) 1-4 @ 5.3% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.77% ( -0) 1-5 @ 3.87% ( -0) 0-7 @ 2.93% ( 0) 1-6 @ 2.35% ( -0) 0-8 @ 1.34% ( 0) 1-7 @ 1.23% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.22% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 3.92% Total : 92.77% |
How you voted: Lusitania vs Benfica
Lusitania
12.0%Draw
12.0%Benfica
76.0%25
Form Guide
Sorry, no data available for Lusitania
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-08 11:31:52
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 36 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 88 | 28 | 60 | 83 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 35 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 87 | 33 | 54 | 82 |
3 | Liverpool | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 81 | 38 | 43 | 78 |
4 | Aston Villa | 36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 73 | 53 | 20 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 35 | 18 | 6 | 11 | 69 | 58 | 11 | 60 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 78 | 56 | 22 | 56 |
7 | Chelsea | 35 | 15 | 9 | 11 | 70 | 59 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 35 | 16 | 6 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 54 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 56 | 70 | -14 | 49 |
10 | Bournemouth | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 52 | 63 | -11 | 48 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 35 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 53 | 57 | -4 | 47 |
12 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 36 | 13 | 7 | 16 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 46 |
13 | Fulham | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 44 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 43 |
15 | Everton | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 37 |
16 | Brentford | 36 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 36 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 45 | 63 | -18 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 36 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 49 | 78 | -29 | 26 |
19 | Burnley | 36 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 39 | 74 | -35 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 36 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 35 | 100 | -65 | 16 |
> Premier League Full Table |
1
Cole Palmer wins two Chelsea awards, reveals his own vote
2
James, Chilwell, Chukwuemeka - Chelsea injury news and return dates before Forest clash
3
Jadon Sancho 'makes decision over Man Utd future'
4
Man Utd 'draw up three-man shortlist of Ten Hag replacements'
5
Man Utd 'will sack Ten Hag as head coach at end of season'
6
Chelsea 'ask Championship loanee to report back to club next week'
7
Four Man Utd players 'set for early-window departures'
8
Liverpool 'hopeful departing coach will return to Anfield'
9
Alaves vs. Girona - prediction, team news, lineups
10
Getafe president provides major Mason Greenwood update
Sport News 24/7