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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Estoril
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 8
Oct 7, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
Benfica

Estoril
0 - 1
Benfica


Cassiano (41'), Tavares (62'), Fernandes (71')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Silva (90+3')
Chiquinho (49'), Silva (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Guimaraes 3-2 Estoril
Sunday, October 1 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Inter Milan 1-0 Benfica
Tuesday, October 3 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Estoril Praia 1-4 Benfica

Benfica have been ruthless in the league since losing to Boavista on the opening day and should have too much for their hosts here. Estoril have been in fine goalscoring form all season but simply concede too many goals, and Benfica will expect to take advantage of that in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 59.45%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 18.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.22%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.36%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Benfica in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Benfica.

Result
Estoril PraiaDrawBenfica
18.66% (-0.012 -0.01) 21.89% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 59.45% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Both teams to score 53.01%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.13% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)44.87% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.78% (0.011000000000003 0.01)67.22% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.16% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)37.84% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.38% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)74.61% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.29% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)14.71% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.09% (0.017000000000003 0.02)42.9% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Estoril Praia 18.66%
    Benfica 59.44%
    Draw 21.88%
Estoril PraiaDrawBenfica
1-0 @ 5.41% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-1 @ 5.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 2.63% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 1.63% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.56%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 18.66%
1-1 @ 10.36% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.57% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 4.83% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 21.88%
0-1 @ 10.66% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 10.22%
1-2 @ 9.94% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-3 @ 6.53% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 6.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 3.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 3.08%
1-4 @ 3.04% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-4 @ 1.48% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-5 @ 1.2% (0.002 0)
1-5 @ 1.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 59.44%

How you voted: Estoril vs Benfica

Estoril Praia
10.7%
Draw
0.0%
Benfica
89.3%
28
Head to Head
Apr 23, 2023 6pm
Nov 9, 2022 8.45pm
Fourth Round
Estoril
0-1
Benfica
Neres (66')
Nov 6, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 12
Estoril
1-5
Benfica
Serginho (90+1')
Musa (25'), Silva (30', 40'), Mario (67'), Ristic (89')
Mar 20, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 27
Benfica
2-1
Estoril
Silva (34'), Ramos (53')
Weigl (29')
Franco (90+3')
Acevedo (10'), Joaozinho (81')
Oct 30, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 10
Estoril
1-1
Benfica
Rosier (90')
Lourenco (42'), Africo (54'), Geraldes (90+4')
Verissimo (2')
Radonjic (55'), Verissimo (75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon30262287276080
2Benfica30234368244473
3Porto30195655243162
4Braga30195663412262
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes30176745321357
6AroucaArouca311361253421145
7MoreirenseMoreirense30127113034-443
8FamalicaoFamalicao30812103338-536
9Gil Vicente3188153950-1132
10Casa Pia3088143043-1332
11SC FarenseFarense3087153944-531
12Rio AveRio Ave3051693238-631
13BoavistaBoavista3079143556-2130
14Estoril PraiaEstoril3086164552-730
15Estrela Amadora30611133246-1429
16PortimonensePortimonense3077163464-3028
17ChavesChaves3058173062-3223
18Vizela3049172962-3321


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