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Braga
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Estoril
Estrela Amadora
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Nacional
Porto
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Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Estoril
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 6
Sep 23, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
Vizela

Estoril
2 - 2
Vizela

Guitane (53'), Vital (67')
Vital (47')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Essende (62'), Saint-Louis (90+11')
Lacava (37'), Saint-Louis (90+11')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Vizela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gil Vicente 5-3 Estoril
Sunday, September 17 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Vizela 1-2 Benfica
Saturday, September 16 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 42.66%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Vizela win was 0-1 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.

Result
Estoril PraiaDrawVizela
42.66% (-0.012 -0.01)26.49% (0.017999999999997 0.02)30.85% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Both teams to score 51.32% (-0.061 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.69% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)53.31% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.15% (-0.064 -0.06)74.85% (0.063999999999993 0.06)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.25% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)24.75% (0.041 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.68% (-0.055 -0.05)59.31% (0.055 0.05)
Vizela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.21% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)31.79% (0.044 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.77% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)68.23% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Estoril Praia 42.65%
    Vizela 30.85%
    Draw 26.49%
Estoril PraiaDrawVizela
1-0 @ 10.98% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.79% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.67% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 4.09% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.57% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.34% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.43% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.25% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 42.65%
1-1 @ 12.59% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.87% (0.024 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.04% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.49%
0-1 @ 9.02% (0.016 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.21% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 5.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.76% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.97% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.92% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 30.85%

Head to Head
Mar 4, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 23
Estoril
0-3
Vizela
Osmajic (15'), Joaozinho (41' og.), Silva (83')
Sep 12, 2022 8.15pm
Gameweek 6
Vizela
0-1
Estoril
Erison (28')
Apr 2, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 28
Estoril
1-2
Vizela
Acevedo (35')
Xavier (88'), Silva (90+6')
Bondoso (16', 63')
Mendez (73'), Claudemir (90+3')
Nov 6, 2021 3.30pm
Gameweek 11
Vizela
1-1
Estoril
Samu (53')
Zag (28'), Afonso (90+4')
Clovis (68')
Acevedo (50'), Joaozinho (87'), Ferraresi (89')