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Estoril
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 28
Apr 2, 2022 at 6pm UK
Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota, Estoril
Vizela

Estoril
1 - 2
Vizela

Acevedo (35')
Xavier (88'), Silva (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bondoso (16', 63')
Mendez (73'), Claudemir (90+3')

Preview: Estoril Praia vs. Vizela - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Vizela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Vizela will be seeking to snap their seven-game winless run when they take a trip to the Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota to face Estoril Praia in round 28 of the Primeira Liga on Saturday.

With the spoils being shared in each of the last five meetings between the sides since 2009, both teams will head into the game desperate to finally get one over the other.


Match preview

Vizela's Cassiano celebrates scoring their first goal with Samu on March 11, 2022© Reuters

Estoril Praia were sent crashing back down to earth two Sundays ago when they fell to a 2-1 defeat against Benfica at the Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica.

After Rafa Silva opened the scoring in the 34th minute, Goncalo Ramos doubled As Aguias' lead eight minutes after the interval before Andre Franco grabbed a late consolation in the 93rd minute.

Prior to that, Bruno Pinheiro's side ended their three-game winless run on March 12, when they beat Portimonense 2-0 courtesy of goals in either half from Jordi Mboula and Francisco Geraldes.

Estoril Praia have won eight, drawn 10 and lost nine of their 27 games this season to collect 34 points and sit in seventh place in the Primeira Liga standings.

Estoril Praia's Francisco Geraldes in action on February 20, 2022© Reuters

Vizela, on the other hand, failed to return to winning ways last time out as they could only salvage a 1-1 draw against Famalicao at the Estadio do FC Vizela.

The Vila Nova appeared headed for all three points thanks to Bruno Rodrigues's 24th-minute strike, but veteran forward Cassiano delivered the goods once again as he scored a last-gasp equaliser in the 91st minute.

Vizela head into the weekend winless in any of their last seven games, claiming four draws and losing three since picking up successive wins over Tondela and Vitoria de Guimaraes back in January.

Their recent defensive frailties have been a major source of concern for manager Alvaro Pacheco as his side have now failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 straight games, conceding 21 goals since a 2-0 victory over Belenenses on January 2.

With 26 points from 27 games, Vizela are currently 14th in the league standings, five points off Santa Clara in the top half of the table and four above Tondela in the relegation playoff spot.

Estoril Praia Primeira Liga form:
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • L

Vizela Primeira Liga form:
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • D


Team News

Estoril Praia's Arthur celebrates scoring their first goal with Andre Franco, Coly Racine and teammates on January 8, 2022© Reuters

Estoril Praia will once again have to make do with the absence of Brazilian defender Lucas Africo, who has been out of action since last November through a knee problem.

While Rui Fonte made his return from injury against Benfica last time out, Roma loanee Ruben Providence will also play no part in Saturday's game as he battles an ankle problem.

Meanwhile, with his leveller against Famalicao last time out, Cassiano now has seven goal involvements in his last nine games for Vizela, and we expect the 32-year-old forward to lead the attack once again.

On the injury front, Pacheco will be unable to call upon the services of Raphael Guzzo after the 27-year-old midfielder picked up an injury in February's game against Boavista.

While Portuguese defender Ivanildo Fernandes made his return from a three-month injury lay-off against the Vila Nova, the duo of Koffi Kouao and Bruno Wilson remain out of contention after coming off with injuries against Benfica on March 11.

Estoril Praia possible starting lineup:
Figueira; Soria, Ferraresi, Silva, Joaozinho; Gamboa, Geraldes; Gomes, Franco, Mboula; Ruiz

Vizela possible starting lineup:
Silva; Afonso, Anderson, Aidara, Ofori; Claudemir, Rashid, Samu; Bondoso, Moreira, Cassiano


SM words green background

We say: Estoril Praia 1-1 Vizela

Estoril Praia appear to have found their rhythm on home turf, claiming two wins from their last three home games after picking up just one from the previous 10. However, we expect Vizela to fly out of the blocks in search of all three points as they look to end their winless run. We predict the spoils will be shared once again with both sides settling for a point apiece.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 41.67%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 31.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Vizela win was 0-1 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Estoril vs Vizela

Estoril Praia
14.3%
Draw
57.1%
Vizela
28.6%
7
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon29252284275777
2Benfica29224365234270
3Porto29185653233059
4Braga29185661402159
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes29176645291657
6MoreirenseMoreirense29127103033-343
7AroucaArouca291341250391143
8FamalicaoFamalicao29811103136-535
9Casa Pia2988132941-1232
10SC FarenseFarense2987143841-331
11Rio AveRio Ave2951593137-630
12BoavistaBoavista2978143455-2129
13Estoril PraiaEstoril2985164350-729
14Gil Vicente2977153648-1228
15Estrela Amadora29610133145-1428
16PortimonensePortimonense2976163262-3027
17ChavesChaves2957172860-3222
18Vizela2949162860-3221


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