Taca da Liga
Sep 27, 2023 8.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stade Rene Gaillard
  • Leo Bolgado 8' goal
  • Rafael Vieira 20' yellowcard
  • Alhassan Wakaso 39' redcard
  • Rafael Freitas 81' yellowcard
  • goal Cassiano 3'
  • yellowcard Koba Koindredi 56'
  • goal Heriberto Tavares 62'
  • yellowcard Tiago Araujo 68'
  • yellowcard Heriberto Tavares 75'
  • yellowcard Alex Soares 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Pedro Alvaro 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Ivan Pavlic 90'+7'

Leixoes vs Estoril Praia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Leixoes

All competitions

Estoril Praia

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 45.24%. A win for Leixoes had a probability of 28.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.12%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Leixoes win was 1-0 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estoril Praia would win this match.

Result

Leixoes 28.99% (-0.14)
Draw 25.76% (-0.10)
Estoril Praia 45.24% (+0.24)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.62% (+0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.83% (+0.33)
Under 2.5 51.17% (-0.34)
Over 3.5 26.98% (+0.29)
Under 3.5 73.01% (-0.29)
Over 4.5 12.64% (+0.19)
Under 4.5 87.36% (-0.19)

Leixoes Goals

Over 0.5 67.96% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 32.03% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 31.5% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 68.5% (-0.09)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5 77.42% (+0.25)
Under 0.5 22.57% (-0.26)
Over 1.5 43.83% (+0.37)
Under 1.5 56.17% (-0.38)

Score analysis

Leixoes 29%
Draw 25.76%
Estoril Praia 45.24%
Leixoes
1-0 @ 8.23% (-0.10)
2-1 @ 6.97% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 4.69% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 2.65%
3-2 @ 1.97% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.78% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 29%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.25% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 7.23% (-0.10)
2-2 @ 5.19% (+0.03)
Other @ 1.09%
Total : 25.76%
Estoril Praia
0-1 @ 10.76% (-0.07)
1-2 @ 9.12% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 8.01% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 4.52% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 3.97% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 2.58% (+0.04)
1-4 @ 1.68% (+0.04)
0-4 @ 1.48% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 45.24%