Champions League
Oct 3, 2023 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Marcus Thuram 62' goal
  • Lautaro Martinez 67' yellowcard
  • Nicolo Barella 68' yellowcard
  • Denzel Dumfries 70' yellowcard
  • Kristjan Asllani 90'+5' yellowcard

Inter Milan vs Benfica - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Milan

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Sep 20, 2023 8.00pm
Real Sociedad 1 - 1 Inter Milan

Benfica

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Sep 20, 2023 8.00pm
Benfica 0 - 2 Salzburg

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 42.35%. A win for Inter Milan had a probability of 32.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.82%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Inter Milan win was 2-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result

Inter Milan 32.82% (+1.73)
Draw 24.83% (-0.05)
Benfica 42.35% (-1.68)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.54% (+0.89)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.4% (+0.84)
Under 2.5 45.6% (-0.84)
Over 3.5 32.07% (+0.80)
Under 3.5 67.93% (-0.80)
Over 4.5 16.13% (+0.57)
Under 4.5 83.87% (-0.57)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5 73.35% (+1.51)
Under 0.5 26.65% (-1.51)
Over 1.5 38.1% (+1.95)
Under 1.5 61.9% (-1.95)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5 78.45% (-0.42)
Under 0.5 21.55% (+0.42)
Over 1.5 45.37% (-0.65)
Under 1.5 54.63% (+0.65)

Score analysis

Inter Milan 32.82%
Draw 24.83%
Benfica 42.35%
Inter Milan
2-1 @ 7.71% (+0.28)
1-0 @ 7.6% (+0.06)
2-0 @ 5.02% (+0.25)
3-1 @ 3.4% (+0.26)
3-2 @ 2.61% (+0.17)
3-0 @ 2.21% (+0.20)
4-1 @ 1.12% (-98.28)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 32.82%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.65% (-0.08)
2-2 @ 5.91% (+0.15)
0-0 @ 5.75% (-0.21)
3-3 @ 1.33% (+0.08)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.83%
Benfica
1-2 @ 8.95% (-0.17)
0-1 @ 8.82% (-0.44)
0-2 @ 6.77% (-0.43)
1-3 @ 4.58% (-0.15)
0-3 @ 3.46% (-0.27)
2-3 @ 3.03% (+0.04)
1-4 @ 1.76% (-0.08)
0-4 @ 1.33% (-0.12)
2-4 @ 1.16% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 42.35%

Head to Head

Champions League
Apr 19, 2023 8.00pm
3
3
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Nicolo Barella 14' goal
  • Lautaro Martinez 65' goal
  • Joaquin Correa 78' goal
  • goal Fredrik Aursnes 38'
  • goal Antonio Silva 86'
  • goal Petar Musa 90'+5'
Champions League
Apr 11, 2023 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
  • goal Nicolo Barella 51'
  • goal Romelu Lukaku 82'