Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Oct 3, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Inter Milan
1 - 0
Benfica

Thuram (62')
Martinez (67'), Barella (68'), Dumfries (70'), Asllani (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Inter Milan and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Milan

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Salernitana 0-4 Inter Milan
Saturday, September 30 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Benfica

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Benfica 1-0 Porto
Friday, September 29 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 42.35%. A win for Inter Milan had a probability of 32.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.82%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Inter Milan win was 2-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter Milan	Draw	Benfica
32.82% ( 1.72)	24.83% ( -0.05)	42.35% ( -1.67)

Both teams to score 57.54% (

0.88)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.4% (

0.84)

45.6% (

-0.84)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.07% (

0.79)

67.93% (

-0.79)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.35% (

1.51)

26.65% (

-1.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.1% (

1.95)

61.9% (

-1.95)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.45% (

-0.41)

21.55% (

0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.37% (

-0.64)

54.63% (

0.64)

Score Analysis

Inter Milan 32.82%

Benfica 42.35%

Draw 24.83%

Inter Milan	Draw	Benfica
2-1 @ 7.71% ( 0.28) 1-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.24) 3-1 @ 3.4% ( 0.26) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.17) 3-0 @ 2.21% ( 0.19) 4-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.13) Other @ 3.15% Total : 32.82%	1-1 @ 11.65% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 5.75% ( -0.21) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.83%	1-2 @ 8.95% ( -0.16) 0-1 @ 8.82% ( -0.43) 0-2 @ 6.77% ( -0.42) 1-3 @ 4.58% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 3.46% ( -0.26) 2-3 @ 3.03% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.76% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.12) 2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 2.52% Total : 42.35%