Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 42.35%. A win for Inter Milan had a probability of 32.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.82%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Inter Milan win was 2-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.