Serie A Gameweek 5
Sep 24, 2023 11.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Carlo Castellani
  • Giuseppe Pezzella 33' yellowcard
  • Youssef Maleh 62' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Francesco Acerbi 26'
  • goal Federico Dimarco 51'
  • yellowcard Alessandro Bastoni 65'

Empoli vs Inter Milan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Empoli

All competitions
Last game
Sep 17, 2023 7.45pm
Roma 7 - 0 Empoli
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
M'Baye Niang

Inter Milan

All competitions
Last game
Sep 16, 2023 5.00pm
Inter Milan 5 - 1 AC Milan
Goals scored
89
Top scorer
Lautaro Martinez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 62.37%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 15.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.81%) and 1-2 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%), while for a Empoli win it was 1-0 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Inter Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Inter Milan.

Result

Empoli 15.84% (+0.02)
Draw 21.79% (-0.03)
Inter Milan 62.37% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.67% (+0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.9% (+0.14)
Under 2.5 49.1% (-0.14)
Over 3.5 28.83% (+0.13)
Under 3.5 71.18% (-0.13)
Over 4.5 13.87% (+0.09)
Under 4.5 86.13% (-0.09)

Empoli Goals

Over 0.5 56.2% (+0.11)
Under 0.5 43.8% (-0.11)
Over 1.5 20.04% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 79.96% (-0.09)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5 84.82% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 15.18% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 56.2% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 43.8% (-0.09)

Score analysis

Empoli 15.84%
Draw 21.78%
Inter Milan 62.36%
Empoli
1-0 @ 5.49% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 4.27% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 2.27%
3-1 @ 1.18% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.11% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 15.84%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.34% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.65% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 4.03% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 21.78%
Inter Milan
0-1 @ 12.53% (-0.06)
0-2 @ 11.81% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 9.75% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 7.42% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 6.13% (+0.02)
0-4 @ 3.5% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 2.89% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.53% (+0.02)
0-5 @ 1.32% (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.19% (+0.01)
1-5 @ 1.09% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 62.36%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 31
Apr 23, 2023 11.30am
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Carlo Castellani
  • goal Romelu Lukaku 48'
  • goal Romelu Lukaku 76'
  • goal Lautaro Martinez 88'
Serie A Gameweek 19
Jan 23, 2023 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • goal Tommaso Baldanzi 66'
Serie A Gameweek 36
May 6, 2022 5.45pm
4
2
HT : 2 2
FT
  • Simone Romagnoli 40' goal
  • Lautaro Martinez 45' goal
  • Lautaro Martinez 64' goal
  • Lautaro Martinez 64' yellowcard
  • Alexis Sanchez 90'+4' goal
  • goal Andrea Pinamonti 5'
  • goal Kristjan Asllani 28'
Coppa Italia
Jan 19, 2022 8.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
ET
  • Alexis Sanchez 13' goal
  • Matias Vecino 54' yellowcard
  • Andrea Ranocchia 90'+1' goal
  • Stefano Sensi 104' goal
  • goal Nedim Bajrami 61'
  • goal Ionut Radu 76' (OG)
  • yellowcard Simone Romagnoli 77'
Serie A Gameweek 10
Oct 27, 2021 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Sebastiano Luperto 29' yellowcard
  • Samuele Ricci 52' redcard
  • yellowcard Stefan de Vrij 24'
  • goal Danilo D'Ambrosio 34'
  • yellowcard Marcelo Brozovic 59'
  • goal Federico Dimarco 66'
  • yellowcard Roberto Gagliardini 75'
Serie A
May 26, 2019 7.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Keita Balde 51' goal
  • Keita Balde 52' yellowcard
  • Ivan Perisic 72' yellowcard
  • Radja Nainggolan 81' goal
  • Danilo D'Ambrosio 90' yellowcard
  • Keita Balde 90' redcard
  • yellowcard Marko Pajac 64'
  • goal Hamed Junior Traore 76'
  • yellowcard Francesco Caputo 90'
  • redcard Filippo Perucchini 90'