Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 50.8%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 24.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-2 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for a Empoli win it was 1-0 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Empoli | Draw | Juventus |
| 24.18% ( | 25.02% ( | 50.8% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.93% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.51% ( | 51.48% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.71% ( | 73.29% ( |
| Empoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.88% ( | 36.12% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.1% ( | 72.9% ( |
| Juventus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.73% ( | 20.27% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.37% ( | 52.62% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Empoli | Draw | Juventus |
| 1-0 @ 7.46% ( 2-1 @ 6.06% ( 2-0 @ 3.8% ( 3-1 @ 2.06% ( 3-2 @ 1.64% ( 3-0 @ 1.29% ( Other @ 1.88% Total : 24.18% | 1-1 @ 11.89% ( 0-0 @ 7.32% ( 2-2 @ 4.84% ( Other @ 0.97% Total : 25.01% | 0-1 @ 11.68% ( 1-2 @ 9.5% ( 0-2 @ 9.33% ( 1-3 @ 5.05% ( 0-3 @ 4.96% ( 2-3 @ 2.57% ( 1-4 @ 2.02% ( 0-4 @ 1.98% ( 2-4 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 2.69% Total : 50.79% |