Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 65.76%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 13.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.09%) and 1-2 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-0 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Salernitana | Draw | Inter Milan |
| 13.93% | 20.32% ( | 65.76% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.67% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.36% ( | 46.64% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.09% ( | 68.91% ( |
| Salernitana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.01% ( | 44.98% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.08% | 80.92% |
| Inter Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.65% ( | 13.34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.78% ( | 40.22% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Salernitana | Draw | Inter Milan |
| 1-0 @ 4.8% ( 2-1 @ 3.86% 2-0 @ 1.92% 3-2 @ 1.04% 3-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.29% Total : 13.93% | 1-1 @ 9.66% ( 0-0 @ 6% 2-2 @ 3.89% Other @ 0.77% Total : 20.32% | 0-2 @ 12.17% 0-1 @ 12.09% 1-2 @ 9.73% 0-3 @ 8.17% ( 1-3 @ 6.53% 0-4 @ 4.12% ( 1-4 @ 3.29% 2-3 @ 2.61% 0-5 @ 1.66% 1-5 @ 1.32% 2-4 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.76% Total : 65.75% |