Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 65.76%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 13.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.09%) and 1-2 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-0 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Salernitana | Draw | Inter Milan |
13.93% | 20.32% ( -0) | 65.76% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 47.67% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.36% ( 0) | 46.64% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.09% ( 0) | 68.91% ( -0) |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.01% ( -0) | 44.98% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.08% | 80.92% |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.65% ( 0) | 13.34% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.78% ( 0) | 40.22% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Salernitana | Draw | Inter Milan |
1-0 @ 4.8% ( -0) 2-1 @ 3.86% 2-0 @ 1.92% 3-2 @ 1.04% 3-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.29% Total : 13.93% | 1-1 @ 9.66% ( -0) 0-0 @ 6% 2-2 @ 3.89% Other @ 0.77% Total : 20.32% | 0-2 @ 12.17% 0-1 @ 12.09% 1-2 @ 9.73% 0-3 @ 8.17% ( 0) 1-3 @ 6.53% 0-4 @ 4.12% ( 0) 1-4 @ 3.29% 2-3 @ 2.61% 0-5 @ 1.66% 1-5 @ 1.32% 2-4 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.76% Total : 65.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 33 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 79 | 18 | 61 | 86 |
2 | AC Milan | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
3 | Juventus | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 65 |
4 | Bologna | 33 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 48 | 26 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Roma | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 59 | 37 | 22 | 54 |
7 | Lazio | 33 | 16 | 4 | 13 | 42 | 35 | 7 | 52 |
8 | Napoli | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 49 |
9 | Fiorentina | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 47 |
10 | Torino | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 44 |
12 | Genoa | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 39 |
13 | Lecce | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 36 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 31 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 31 |
17 | Empoli | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 31 |
18 | Udinese | 33 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 31 | 50 | -19 | 28 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 39 | 65 | -26 | 26 |
R | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |