Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 4

Sep 18, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

Stadio Arechi

Salernitana
0 - 3
Torino

Gyomber (43'), Fazio (81')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Buongiorno (15'), Radonjic (41', 50')
Bellanova (46'), Schuurs (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Salernitana and Torino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Salernitana

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Lecce 2-0 Salernitana
Sunday, September 3 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Torino

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Torino 1-0 Genoa
Sunday, September 3 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 46.64%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 26.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.15%) and 1-2 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.73%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-0 (9.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torino would win this match.

Result
Salernitana	Draw	Torino
26.17% ( -2.47)	27.19% ( -0.54)	46.64% ( 3.01)

Both teams to score 46.5% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.84% (

0.66)

58.15% (

-0.66)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.19% (

0.52)

78.81% (

-0.51)

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.95% (

-1.68)

38.04% (

1.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.19% (

-1.66)

74.81% (

1.67)

Torino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.05% (

1.82)

24.95% (

-1.82)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.42% (

2.46)

59.58% (

-2.46)

Score Analysis

Salernitana 26.17%

Torino 46.63%

Draw 27.19%

Salernitana	Draw	Torino
1-0 @ 9.17% ( -0.67) 2-1 @ 6.15% ( -0.41) 2-0 @ 4.43% ( -0.55) 3-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.23) 3-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.25) 3-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.62% Total : 26.17%	1-1 @ 12.73% ( -0.24) 0-0 @ 9.49% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.69% Total : 27.19%	0-1 @ 13.17% ( 0.35) 0-2 @ 9.15% ( 0.69) 1-2 @ 8.84% ( 0.29) 0-3 @ 4.23% ( 0.52) 1-3 @ 4.09% ( 0.33) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.08) 0-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.25) 1-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.18) Other @ 2.28% Total : 46.63%