Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 1

Aug 20, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Roma
2 - 2
Salernitana

Belotti (8', 17', 82')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Candreva (36', 49')
Gyomber (41'), Maggiore (66'), Kastanos (69'), Fazio (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Roma and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Partizani Tirana 1-2 Roma
Saturday, August 12 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Salernitana

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Salernitana 1-0 Ternana
Sunday, August 13 at 4.45pm in Coppa Italia

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 59.11%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 17.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.39%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Roma	Draw	Salernitana
59.11% ( -0.16)	23.14% ( 0.11)	17.75% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 47.49% (

-0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.61% (

-0.38)

51.39% (

0.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.79% (

-0.34)

73.21% (

0.33)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.93% (

-0.19)

17.07% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.74% (

-0.34)

47.26% (

0.34)

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.27% (

-0.17)

42.73% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.94% (

-0.15)

79.06% (

0.15)

Score Analysis

Roma 59.1%

Salernitana 17.75%

Draw 23.13%

Roma	Draw	Salernitana
1-0 @ 12.89% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 11.39% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.69% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.72% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.71% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.52% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.66% Total : 59.1%	1-1 @ 10.96% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.3% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.76% Total : 23.13%	0-1 @ 6.2% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 4.66% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.76% Total : 17.75%