Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Oct 3, 2023 at 5.45pm UK

Red Bull Arena

Salzburg
0 - 2
Real Sociedad

Solet (41'), Pavlovic (76'), Struber (77'), Baidoo (88')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Oyarzabal (7'), Mendez (27')
Le Normand (15'), Mendez (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Red Bull Salzburg and Real Sociedad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Red Bull Salzburg

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Austria Lustenau 0-4 Salzburg
Saturday, September 30 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga

Goals
for

Real Sociedad

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Real Sociedad 3-0 Athletic Bilbao
Saturday, September 30 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 44.6%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 28.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Red Bull Salzburg	Draw	Real Sociedad
44.6% ( 0.94)	26.51% ( -0.77)	28.89% ( -0.17)

Both teams to score 50.28% (

2.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.82% (

2.81)

54.18% (

-2.81)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.41% (

2.3)

75.59% (

-2.3)

Red Bull Salzburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.82% (

1.73)

24.18% (

-1.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.49% (

2.39)

58.51% (

-2.39)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.31% (

1.36)

33.68% (

-1.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.66% (

1.45)

70.34% (

-1.45)

Score Analysis

Red Bull Salzburg 44.6%

Real Sociedad 28.89%

Draw 26.5%

Red Bull Salzburg	Draw	Real Sociedad
1-0 @ 11.56% ( -0.7) 2-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 8.21% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 4.23% ( 0.32) 3-0 @ 3.88% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.25) 4-1 @ 1.5% ( 0.18) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.61% Total : 44.6%	1-1 @ 12.58% ( -0.27) 0-0 @ 8.15% ( -0.93) 2-2 @ 4.86% ( 0.31) Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.5%	0-1 @ 8.86% ( -0.66) 1-2 @ 6.85% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.17) 0-3 @ 1.75% ( 0) Other @ 2.37% Total : 28.89%