Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 36.95%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 34.83% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.81%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 1-0 (11.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
| 34.83% ( | 28.22% ( | 36.95% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.11% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.92% ( | 59.08% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.47% ( | 79.53% ( |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.96% ( | 32.04% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.5% ( | 68.5% ( |
| Athletic Bilbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.32% ( | 30.68% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.07% ( | 66.93% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
| 1-0 @ 11.18% ( 2-1 @ 7.52% ( 2-0 @ 6.37% ( 3-1 @ 2.86% ( 3-0 @ 2.42% ( 3-2 @ 1.69% ( Other @ 2.79% Total : 34.82% | 1-1 @ 13.21% ( 0-0 @ 9.83% ( 2-2 @ 4.45% ( Other @ 0.72% Total : 28.21% | 0-1 @ 11.61% ( 1-2 @ 7.81% ( 0-2 @ 6.86% ( 1-3 @ 3.08% ( 0-3 @ 2.7% ( 2-3 @ 1.75% ( 1-4 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2.23% Total : 36.95% |