Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 67.74%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 11.15%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.86%) and 3-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.52%), while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Getafe |
67.74% ( 2.05) | 21.11% ( -0.79) | 11.15% ( -1.25) |
Both teams to score 37.79% ( -1.43) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.33% ( 0.2) | 55.67% ( -0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.18% ( 0.17) | 76.82% ( -0.16) |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.37% ( 0.75) | 15.63% ( -0.75) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.36% ( 1.37) | 44.64% ( -1.37) |
Getafe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
44.79% ( -2.11) | 55.21% ( 2.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
12% ( -1.3) | 88.01% ( 1.3) |
Score Analysis |
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Getafe |
1-0 @ 16.01% ( 0.28) 2-0 @ 14.86% ( 0.63) 3-0 @ 9.19% ( 0.61) 2-1 @ 8.83% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 5.46% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 4.27% ( 0.39) 4-1 @ 2.53% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.1) 5-0 @ 1.58% ( 0.18) 5-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.43% Total : 67.74% | 1-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.45) 0-0 @ 8.63% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.23) Other @ 0.34% Total : 21.11% | 0-1 @ 5.13% ( -0.38) 1-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.33) 0-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.22) Other @ 1.67% Total : 11.15% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 33 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 71 | 22 | 49 | 84 |
2 | GironaGirona | 33 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 69 | 40 | 29 | 71 |
3 | Barcelona | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 64 | 37 | 27 | 70 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 33 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 62 | 39 | 23 | 64 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 33 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 51 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 33 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Valencia | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 43 |
11 | Osasuna | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 39 |
12 | Sevilla | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 38 |
13 | AlavesAlaves | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 38 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 37 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 27 | 42 | -15 | 34 |
16 | Mallorca | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 32 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 33 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 36 | 61 | -25 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 33 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 32 | 67 | -35 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |