Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 55.84%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 19.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Real Sociedad in this match.