Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 55.84%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 19.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Real Sociedad in this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Mallorca |
| 55.84% ( | 24.2% ( | 19.95% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.02% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.39% | 52.61% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.74% | 74.26% ( |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.28% ( | 18.71% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.92% ( | 50.07% ( |
| Mallorca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.08% ( | 40.92% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.51% ( | 77.48% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Mallorca |
| 1-0 @ 12.83% 2-0 @ 10.75% 2-1 @ 9.61% 3-0 @ 6.01% ( 3-1 @ 5.37% 4-0 @ 2.52% ( 3-2 @ 2.4% 4-1 @ 2.25% 4-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.1% Total : 55.84% | 1-1 @ 11.46% 0-0 @ 7.66% ( 2-2 @ 4.29% Other @ 0.79% Total : 24.2% | 0-1 @ 6.84% 1-2 @ 5.12% 0-2 @ 3.06% ( 1-3 @ 1.53% 2-3 @ 1.28% ( 0-3 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 1.21% Total : 19.95% |