Primeira Liga Gameweek 8
Oct 7, 2023 3.30pm
4
2
HT : 1 2
FT Estadio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira
  • Hector Hernandez 26' goal
  • Leandro Sanca 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Sandro Cruz 58' goal
  • Hector Hernandez 81' goal
  • Ruben Ribeiro 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Ruben Ribeiro 90'+3' redcard
  • Hector Hernandez 90'+8' goal
  • goal Felix Correia 19'
  • yellowcard Pedro Tiba 29'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Pereira 36'
  • goal Maxime Dominguez 39'
  • yellowcard Martim Neto 45'+4'

Chaves vs Gil Vicente - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Chaves

All competitions
Last game
Oct 1, 2023 3.30pm
Arouca 0 - 2 Chaves
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Hector Hernandez

Gil Vicente

All competitions
Last game
Oct 2, 2023 8.15pm
Gil Vicente 2 - 0 Casa Pia
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Maxime Dominguez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 41.56%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 33.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Chaves win was 2-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Chaves would win this match.

Result

Chaves 33.77% (-0.27)
Draw 24.66% (+0.06)
Gil Vicente 41.56% (+0.21)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.44% (-0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.45% (-0.33)
Under 2.5 44.55% (+0.33)
Over 3.5 33.08% (-0.32)
Under 3.5 66.91% (+0.32)
Over 4.5 16.85% (-0.23)
Under 4.5 83.14% (+0.24)

Chaves Goals

Over 0.5 74.43% (-0.31)
Under 0.5 25.57% (+0.31)
Over 1.5 39.56% (-0.43)
Under 1.5 60.44% (+0.43)

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 0.5 78.52% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 21.47% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 45.49% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 54.51% (+0.07)

Score analysis

Chaves 33.77%
Draw 24.65%
Gil Vicente 41.56%
Chaves
2-1 @ 7.85% (-0.04)
1-0 @ 7.49% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 5.11% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.57% (-0.06)
3-2 @ 2.75% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 2.32% (-0.03)
4-1 @ 1.22% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 33.77%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.51% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 6.04% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 5.49% (+0.08)
3-3 @ 1.41% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.65%
Gil Vicente
1-2 @ 8.86% (+0.03)
0-1 @ 8.45% (+0.11)
0-2 @ 6.5% (+0.08)
1-3 @ 4.54% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.33% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 3.1% (-0.03)
1-4 @ 1.75%
0-4 @ 1.28% (+0.02)
2-4 @ 1.19% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 41.56%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 27
Apr 10, 2023 8.15pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Cidade de Barcelos
Primeira Liga Gameweek 10
Oct 23, 2022 6.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estádio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira
  • Joao Mendes 46' goal
  • Jonny Arriba 59' goal
  • Joao Mendes 67' goal
  • goal Fran Navarro 25'