/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F20%2F53%2Ffarlog_1.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F12%2Fchalog.png)
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Zach Muscat
10'
-
Claudio Falcao
17'
-
Bachir Belloumi
20'
-
Fabricio Isidoro
22'
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Mattheus Oliveira
49'
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Rui Costa
69'
-
Talocha
75'
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Paulo Victor Ferreira de Jesus
59'
SC Farense vs Chaves - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F16%2Fchaves.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 36.57%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 35.81% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.9%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 1-0 (10.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
Result
SC Farense
35.81%
▲
(+0.11)
Draw
27.62%
▼
(-0.04)
Chaves
36.57%
▼
(-0.07)
Both Teams to Score:
48.97%
▲
(+0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5
43.2%
▲
(+0.15)
Under 2.5
56.8%
▼
(-0.15)
Over 3.5
22.27%
▲
(+0.12)
Under 3.5
77.73%
▼
(-0.12)
Over 4.5
9.67%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 4.5
90.33%
▼
(-0.07)
SC Farense Goals
Over 0.5
69.75%
▲
(+0.14)
Under 0.5
30.26%
▼
(-0.14)
Over 1.5
33.58%
▲
(+0.17)
Under 1.5
66.43%
▼
(-0.16)
Chaves Goals
Over 0.5
70.21%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 0.5
29.79%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 1.5
34.14%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 1.5
65.86%
▼
(-0.04)
Score analysis
SC Farense
35.81%
Draw
27.61%
Chaves
36.57%
SC Farense
1-0
@
10.77%
▼
(-0.02)
2-1 @ 7.8% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 6.44% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.11% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.57% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.88% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 35.81%
2-1 @ 7.8% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 6.44% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.11% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.57% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.88% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 35.81%
Draw
1-1
@
13.04%
▼
(-0.03)
0-0 @ 9.01% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 4.72% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.61%
0-0 @ 9.01% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 4.72% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.61%
Chaves
0-1
@
10.91%
▼
(-0.06)
1-2 @ 7.9%
0-2 @ 6.61% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.19% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.67% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.91% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 36.57%
1-2 @ 7.9%
0-2 @ 6.61% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.19% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.67% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.91% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 36.57%