Primeira Liga Gameweek 6
Sep 24, 2023 3.30pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira
  • Ygor Nogueira 33' yellowcard
  • Ricardo Guimaraes 42' yellowcard
  • Paulo Victor Ferreira de Jesus 51' yellowcard
  • Steven Vitoria 72' yellowcard
  • Hector Hernandez 85' goal
  • Pedro Pinho 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Mansur 36'
  • goal Leo Cordeiro 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Aloisio Genezio 56'
  • goal Leo Jaba 70'
  • redcard Mansur 90'+7'
  • yellowcard Kialonda Gaspar 90'+10'

Chaves vs Estrela Amadora - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Chaves

All competitions
Last game
Sep 18, 2023 8.15pm
Boavista 4 - 1 Chaves
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Hector Hernandez

Estrela Amadora

All competitions
Last game
Sep 15, 2023 7.15pm
Estrela Amadora 0 - 1 Porto
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Kikas

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 46.59%. A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 28.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 0-1 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result

Chaves 46.59% (-0.11)
Draw 24.83% (+0.03)
Estrela Amadora 28.58% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.34% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.5% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 47.5% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 30.29% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 69.71% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 14.87% (-0.05)
Under 4.5 85.13% (+0.05)

Chaves Goals

Over 0.5 79.55% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 20.45% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 47.1% (-0.12)
Under 1.5 52.9% (+0.12)

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 0.5 69.56% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 30.44% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 33.35% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 66.65% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Chaves 46.59%
Draw 24.83%
Estrela Amadora 28.58%
Chaves
1-0 @ 9.88% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.33% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.84% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.94% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4.15% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.94% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.96% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.65% (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.17% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 46.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.75% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 6.23% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.55% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.83%
Estrela Amadora
0-1 @ 7.4% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 6.99% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.4% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.77% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.2% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.75% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 28.58%