Primeira Liga | Gameweek 4

Sep 3, 2023 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira

Chaves
1 - 2
Moreirense

Langa (72')
Rodrigues (10'), Nwakali (56'), Victor Ferreira de Jesus (90')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Alan (3'), Camacho (84')
Frimpong (21'), Luis (45+4'), Silva (86'), Ofori (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Chaves and Moreirense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chaves

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Farense 5-0 Chaves
Saturday, August 26 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Moreirense

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Famalicao 0-0 Moreirense
Monday, August 21 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 41.82%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 32.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Chaves win was 1-0 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Moreirense would win this match.

Result
Chaves	Draw	Moreirense
32.41% ( 0.02)	25.77% ( -0.25)	41.82% ( 0.24)

Both teams to score 54.22% (

0.85)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.15% (

1.09)

49.85% (

-1.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.15% (

0.97)

71.85% (

-0.96)

Chaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.01% (

0.56)

29% (

-0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.11% (

0.68)

64.89% (

-0.68)

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.36% (

0.6)

23.65% (

-0.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.26% (

0.86)

57.74% (

-0.85)

Score Analysis

Chaves 32.41%

Moreirense 41.82%

Draw 25.77%

Chaves	Draw	Moreirense
1-0 @ 8.49% ( -0.25) 2-1 @ 7.58% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 3.13% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 2.17% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.57% Total : 32.41%	1-1 @ 12.24% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 6.86% ( -0.31) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.77%	0-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.26) 1-2 @ 8.83% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 7.13% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 4.24% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 3.43% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 1.53% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.98% Total : 41.82%