Arouca
Arouca
Benfica
Benfica
Boavista
Boavista
Braga
Braga
Casa Pia
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Moreirense
Nacional
Nacional
Porto
Porto
Rio Ave
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Chaves
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 4
Sep 3, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira
Moreirense

Chaves
1 - 2
Moreirense

Langa (72')
Rodrigues (10'), Nwakali (56'), Victor Ferreira de Jesus (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Alan (3'), Camacho (84')
Frimpong (21'), Luis (45+4'), Silva (86'), Ofori (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Chaves and Moreirense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chaves

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Farense 5-0 Chaves
Saturday, August 26 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Moreirense

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Famalicao 0-0 Moreirense
Monday, August 21 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 41.82%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 32.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Chaves win was 1-0 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Moreirense would win this match.

Result
ChavesDrawMoreirense
32.41% (0.021999999999998 0.02)25.77% (-0.255 -0.25)41.82% (0.24 0.24)
Both teams to score 54.22% (0.848 0.85)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.15% (1.091 1.09)49.85% (-1.084 -1.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.15% (0.967 0.97)71.85% (-0.96000000000001 -0.96)
Chaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.01% (0.557 0.56)29% (-0.551 -0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.11% (0.683 0.68)64.89% (-0.676 -0.68)
Moreirense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.36% (0.604 0.6)23.65% (-0.598 -0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.26% (0.86 0.86)57.74% (-0.854 -0.85)
Score Analysis
    Chaves 32.41%
    Moreirense 41.82%
    Draw 25.77%
ChavesDrawMoreirense
1-0 @ 8.49% (-0.245 -0.25)
2-1 @ 7.58% (0.033 0.03)
2-0 @ 5.26% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-1 @ 3.13% (0.061 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.26% (0.083 0.08)
3-0 @ 2.17% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 0.97% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 32.41%
1-1 @ 12.24% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 6.86% (-0.307 -0.31)
2-2 @ 5.46% (0.118 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.058 0.06)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.77%
0-1 @ 9.89% (-0.264 -0.26)
1-2 @ 8.83% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
0-2 @ 7.13% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-3 @ 4.24% (0.101 0.1)
0-3 @ 3.43% (0.029 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.63% (0.101 0.1)
1-4 @ 1.53% (0.062 0.06)
0-4 @ 1.24% (0.032 0.03)
2-4 @ 0.95% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 41.82%

How you voted: Chaves vs Moreirense

Chaves
19.2%
Draw
46.2%
Moreirense
34.6%
26
Head to Head
May 29, 2022 7.30pm
Moreirense
1-0
Chaves
Paulinho (25')
Rosic (15'), Jefferson (36'), Jorge (83'), Mirallas (85')

Correia (26'), Carvalho (36')
> Preview
Apr 20, 2019 3.30pm
Gameweek 30
Moreirense
0-1
Chaves

Camara (44'), Chiquinho (51'), Santos (61'), Nene (75')
Maras (72')
Maras (40'), Ghazaryan (85'), Gallo (93')
Dec 15, 2018 3.30pm
Gameweek 13
Chaves
1-2
Moreirense
Niltinho (77')
N'Diaye (60'), Aurelio (75')
Aurelio (21'), Aouacheria (36')
Feb 18, 2018 4pm
Moreirense
0-1
Chaves

Neto (22'), Edno (27'), Arsenio (82')
Belkaroui (71')
Bressan (74' pen.)
Eustaquio (65'), Melo (67'), Furlan (90')
Sep 18, 2017 9pm
Chaves
3-0
Moreirense
Tiba (45' pen.), Bressan (62'), William (65')

Cadiz (37'), Abarhoun (52')
> Live Commentary
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CSporting Lisbon34257288276182
2Benfica34255484285680
3Porto34225765303571
4Braga34199655302566
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara34176113632457
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes341412847371054
7FamalicaoFamalicao341211114439547
8Estoril PraiaEstoril341210124853-546
9Casa Pia34129133944-545
10MoreirenseMoreirense341010144250-840
11AroucaArouca34911143549-1438
12Rio AveRio Ave34911143955-1638
13Gil Vicente34810163447-1334
14Nacional3497183250-1834
15Estrela Amadora3478192450-2629
RSC FarenseFarense3469192546-2127
17AVS34512172560-3527
RBoavistaBoavista3466222459-3524
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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