Primeira Liga | Gameweek 7

Oct 1, 2023 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio Municipal de Arouca

Arouca
0 - 2
Chaves

Sylla (1'), Weverson (45+2'), Trezza (53')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Hernandez (53' pen.), Correia (85')
Correia (35'), Souza (45+1'), Hernandez (53'), Guimaraes (64'), Nogueira (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and Chaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arouca

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: AVS 1-2 Arouca
Tuesday, September 26 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Chaves

All competitions

Last Game: Chaves 2-2 Estrela Amadora
Sunday, September 24 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 37.98%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 35.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Chaves win was 0-1 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Arouca	Draw	Chaves
37.98% ( -1.29)	26.68% ( -0.23)	35.33% ( 1.53)

Both teams to score 51.88% (

0.97)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.87% (

1.13)

53.13% (

-1.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.29% (

0.95)

74.7% (

-0.95)

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.82% (

-0.19)

27.18% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.41% (

-0.26)

62.59% (

0.26)

Chaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.25% (

1.53)

28.75% (

-1.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.41% (

1.86)

64.59% (

-1.86)

Score Analysis

Arouca 37.98%

Chaves 35.33%

Draw 26.68%

Arouca	Draw	Chaves
1-0 @ 10.18% ( -0.52) 2-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 6.63% ( -0.38) 3-1 @ 3.59% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 2.88% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.1% Total : 37.98%	1-1 @ 12.68% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 7.82% ( -0.35) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.68%	0-1 @ 9.74% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.91% ( 0.27) 0-2 @ 6.07% ( 0.24) 1-3 @ 3.29% ( 0.24) 0-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.2) 2-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.15) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.64% Total : 35.33%