Taca da Liga
Sep 26, 2023 8.15pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Rene Gaillard
  • Balla Sangare 23' yellowcard
  • Carlos Daniel Barbosa da Silva 59' goal
  • Leo Alaba 90'+5' redcard
  • Idrissa Dioh 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Jason 17'
  • goal Cristo 67'
  • yellowcard David Simao 90'+9'

AVS vs Arouca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

AVS

All competitions

Arouca

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 37.85%. A win for AVS had a probability of 34.19% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.98%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest AVS win was 1-0 (10.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arouca would win this match.

Result

AVS 34.19% (+0.01)
Draw 27.96% (-0.01)
Arouca 37.85% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.79% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 41.79% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 58.2% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 21.15% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 78.85% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 9% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 90.99% (-0.01)

AVS Goals

Over 0.5 67.99% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 32.01% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 31.52% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 68.47% (-0.02)

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5 70.29% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 29.7% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 34.24% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 65.76% (-0.01)

Score analysis

AVS 34.19%
Draw 27.95%
Arouca 37.85%
AVS
1-0 @ 10.83%
2-1 @ 7.49% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.17%
3-1 @ 2.84% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.34% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.73% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 34.19%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.14%
0-0 @ 9.51% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.55% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.95%
Arouca
0-1 @ 11.54%
1-2 @ 7.98% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 7.01% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.23% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.84%
2-3 @ 1.84% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 37.85%