Primeira Liga
Gameweek
5
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-
Cristo
44'
-
Francisco Montero
82'
-
Vasco Fernandes
11'
-
Beni Mukendi
83'
-
Felippe Cardoso
90'+1'
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Felippe Cardoso
90'+3'
Arouca vs Casa Pia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F36%2Farouca.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 39.33%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 33.06% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 0-1 (10.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
Result
Arouca
39.33%
▼
(-0.30)
Draw
27.61%
▲
(+0.33)
Casa Pia
33.06%
▼
(-0.04)
Both Teams to Score:
48.65%
▼
(-0.98)
Goals
Over 2.5
42.95%
▼
(-1.24)
Under 2.5
57.04%
▲
(+1.23)
Over 3.5
22.07%
▼
(-1.00)
Under 3.5
77.93%
▲
(+0.99)
Over 4.5
9.55%
▼
(-0.60)
Under 4.5
90.45%
▲
(+0.60)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5
71.73%
▼
(-0.76)
Under 0.5
28.27%
▲
(+0.76)
Over 1.5
36.01%
▼
(-0.97)
Under 1.5
63.99%
▲
(+0.96)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5
67.82%
▼
(-0.65)
Under 0.5
32.18%
▲
(+0.65)
Over 1.5
31.34%
▼
(-0.74)
Under 1.5
68.66%
▲
(+0.74)
Score analysis
Arouca
39.33%
Draw
27.61%
Casa Pia
33.05%
Arouca
1-0
@
11.49%
▲
(+0.31)
2-1 @ 8.23% ▼ (-0.11)
2-0 @ 7.26% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 3.47% ▼ (-0.12)
3-0 @ 3.06% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 1.97% ▼ (-0.11)
4-1 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 39.33%
2-1 @ 8.23% ▼ (-0.11)
2-0 @ 7.26% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 3.47% ▼ (-0.12)
3-0 @ 3.06% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 1.97% ▼ (-0.11)
4-1 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 39.33%
Draw
1-1
@
13.03%
▲
(+0.11)
0-0 @ 9.1% ▲ (+0.42)
2-2 @ 4.67% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.61%
0-0 @ 9.1% ▲ (+0.42)
2-2 @ 4.67% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.61%
Casa Pia
0-1
@
10.31%
▲
(+0.31)
1-2 @ 7.39% ▼ (-0.07)
0-2 @ 5.85% ▲ (+0.07)
1-3 @ 2.79% ▼ (-0.08)
0-3 @ 2.21% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.76% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 33.05%
1-2 @ 7.39% ▼ (-0.07)
0-2 @ 5.85% ▲ (+0.07)
1-3 @ 2.79% ▼ (-0.08)
0-3 @ 2.21% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.76% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 33.05%