Primeira Liga | Gameweek 5

Sep 17, 2023 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio Municipal de Arouca

Arouca
0 - 1
Casa Pia

Cristo (44'), Montero (82')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Cardoso (90+1')
Fernandes (11'), Mukendi (83'), Cardoso (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and Casa Pia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arouca

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Porto 1-1 Arouca
Sunday, September 3 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Casa Pia

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Casa Pia 1-1 Rio Ave
Saturday, September 2 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 39.33%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 33.06% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 0-1 (10.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result
Arouca	Draw	Casa Pia
39.33% ( -0.3)	27.61% ( 0.33)	33.06% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 48.65% (

-0.98)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.95% (

-1.23)

57.04% (

1.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.07% (

-0.99)

77.93% (

0.99)

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.73% (

-0.75)

28.27% (

0.75)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.01% (

-0.96)

63.99% (

0.96)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.82% (

-0.64)

32.18% (

0.64)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.34% (

-0.74)

68.66% (

0.74)

Score Analysis

Arouca 39.33%

Casa Pia 33.05%

Draw 27.61%

Arouca	Draw	Casa Pia
1-0 @ 11.49% ( 0.3) 2-1 @ 8.23% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 7.26% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.47% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 3.06% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.8% Total : 39.33%	1-1 @ 13.03% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 9.1% ( 0.42) 2-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.61%	0-1 @ 10.31% ( 0.3) 1-2 @ 7.39% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 5.85% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.74% Total : 33.05%