Taca da Liga | First Round
Jul 23, 2023 at 6pm UK
Campo Cruz Do Reguengo
Casa Pia

Vilaverdense
0 - 2
Casa Pia


Miguel Perestrelo Alves Silva (29'), Manuel Ribeiro Freitas (47'), Teixeira (70'), Ferreira Viegas (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Clayton (13'), Pinto (35' pen.)
Nunes (81')
Coverage of the Taca da Liga First Round clash between Vilaverdense and Casa Pia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vilaverdense

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Last Game: Vilaverdense 1-4 Belenenses
Wednesday, January 11 at 2pm in Taca de Portugal
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Casa Pia

All competitions
Last Game: Gil Vicente 1-0 Casa Pia
Saturday, May 27 at 12.45pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vilaverdense win with a probability of 38.89%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 34.13% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vilaverdense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 0-1 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
VilaverdenseDrawCasa Pia
38.89% (-0.33 -0.33)26.98% (0.084 0.08)34.13% (0.24 0.24)
Both teams to score 50.79% (-0.227 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.56% (-0.308 -0.31)54.44% (0.304 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.19% (-0.259 -0.26)75.81% (0.253 0.25)
Vilaverdense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.71% (-0.33 -0.33)27.29% (0.325 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.27% (-0.42899999999999 -0.43)62.73% (0.424 0.42)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.85% (0.0010000000000048 0)30.15% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.7% (0.0020000000000024 0)66.3% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Vilaverdense 38.88%
    Casa Pia 34.13%
    Draw 26.98%
VilaverdenseDrawCasa Pia
1-0 @ 10.68% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.32% (-0.053999999999998 -0.05)
2-0 @ 6.94% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.6% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.16% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.17% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-0 @ 0.98% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 38.88%
1-1 @ 12.81% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 8.23% (0.097 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.99% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.98%
0-1 @ 9.86% (0.118 0.12)
1-2 @ 7.68% (0.023 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.91% (0.071000000000001 0.07)
1-3 @ 3.07% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.36% (0.029 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.99% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.92% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 34.13%