Primeira Liga | Gameweek 2

Aug 18, 2023 at 8.15pm UK

Estadio Pina Manique

Casa Pia
1 - 2
Sporting Lisbon

Clayton (58')
Mukendi (45+12'), Varela (55'), Neto (90'), Geraldes (90+8')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Paulinho (3', 61')
Inacio (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Casa Pia and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Casa Pia

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Farense 0-3 Casa Pia
Saturday, August 12 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 3-2 Vizela
Saturday, August 12 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 62.66%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 15.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.62%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.21%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-0 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.

Result
Casa Pia	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
15.85% ( 0.03)	21.49% ( -0)	62.66% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 48.62% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.15% (

0.05)

47.85% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.97% (

0.05)

70.03% (

-0.05)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.98% (

0.07)

43.02% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.69% (

0.06)

79.31% (

-0.06)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.32% (

0.01)

14.67% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.16% (

0.02)

42.84% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Casa Pia 15.85%

Sporting Lisbon 62.65%

Draw 21.48%

Casa Pia	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 5.33% ( -0) 2-1 @ 4.31% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 2.25% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.21% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.59% Total : 15.85%	1-1 @ 10.21% 0-0 @ 6.31% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.82% Total : 21.48%	0-1 @ 12.11% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 11.62% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.81% ( 0) 0-3 @ 7.44% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 6.27% ( 0) 0-4 @ 3.57% ( -0) 1-4 @ 3.01% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.37% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.27% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.16% ( 0) Other @ 2.39% Total : 62.65%