Primeira Liga | Gameweek 4

Sep 2, 2023 at 3.30pm UK

Campo do Cevadeiro

Casa Pia
1 - 1
Rio Ave

Roberto (13')
Clayton (75')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Joca (52')
Graca (77'), Pantalon (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Casa Pia and Rio Ave, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Casa Pia

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Boavista 1-1 Casa Pia
Sunday, August 27 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Rio Ave

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Rio Ave 1-2 Porto
Monday, August 28 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 41.64%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 30.88% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (7.81%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 1-0 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
Casa Pia	Draw	Rio Ave
30.88% ( -0.18)	27.48% ( -0.11)	41.64% ( 0.28)

Both teams to score 48.36% (

0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.91% (

0.34)

57.09% (

-0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.03% (

0.27)

77.97% (

-0.27)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.26% (

0.05)

33.74% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.6% (

0.05)

70.39% (

-0.05)

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.99% (

0.31)

27.01% (

-0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.63% (

0.41)

62.37% (

-0.4)

Score Analysis

Casa Pia 30.88%

Rio Ave 41.64%

Draw 27.48%

Casa Pia	Draw	Rio Ave
1-0 @ 9.9% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 7.04% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.38% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 2.55% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.95% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.67% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.39% Total : 30.88%	1-1 @ 12.96% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.11% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 4.61% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.48%	0-1 @ 11.92% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 8.48% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 7.81% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.7% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 3.41% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.99% Total : 41.64%