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Francisco Montero
25'
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Rafael Fernandes
39'
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Eboue Kouassi
57'
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Angel di Maria
26'
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Antonio Silva
35'
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Goncalo Guedes
45'
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Arthur Cabral
74'
Arouca vs Benfica - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 59.51%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 18.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.5%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for an Arouca win it was 1-0 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Benfica in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Benfica.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Arouca Goals
Benfica Goals
Score analysis
2-1 @ 4.95% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 2.62% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.47% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 18.38%
0-0 @ 5.9% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.67% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.03%
Total : 22.11%
0-2 @ 10.5% ▼ (-0.03)
1-2 @ 9.91% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 6.61% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 6.23% ▼ (-0.02)
0-4 @ 3.12% ▼ (-0.03)
1-4 @ 2.94% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.94% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.39% ▼ (-0.01)
0-5 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.02)
1-5 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 59.49%
Mateus Quaresma
45'+1'