Primeira Liga
Gameweek
8
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-
Ousmane Diomande
29'
-
Viktor Gyokeres
31'
-
Ousmane Diomande
42'
-
Marcus Edwards
45'+2'
-
Eduardo Quaresma
62'
-
Hidemasa Morita
68'
-
Rafa Mujica
29'
-
Rafa Mujica
52'
-
Cristo
58'
-
Weverson
60'
-
Rafael Fernandes
64'
-
Ignacio De Arruabarrena
74'
-
Rafael Fernandes
87'
-
Pedro Santos
90'+3'
Sporting Lisbon vs Arouca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 66.77%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 13.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.44%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.53%), while for an Arouca win it was 0-1 (4.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
Result
Sporting Lisbon
66.77%
▲
(+0.13)
Draw
20.07%
▲
(+0.30)
Arouca
13.16%
▼
(-0.43)
Both Teams to Score:
46.41%
▼
(-2.13)
Goals
Over 2.5
52.78%
▼
(-2.22)
Under 2.5
47.22%
▲
(+2.22)
Over 3.5
30.55%
▼
(-2.10)
Under 3.5
69.45%
▲
(+2.10)
Over 4.5
15.05%
▼
(-1.49)
Under 4.5
84.95%
▲
(+1.49)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5
86.77%
▼
(-0.64)
Under 0.5
13.23%
▲
(+0.64)
Over 1.5
60.02%
▼
(-1.30)
Under 1.5
39.98%
▲
(+1.30)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5
53.49%
▼
(-2.04)
Under 0.5
46.51%
▲
(+2.05)
Over 1.5
17.88%
▼
(-1.61)
Under 1.5
82.12%
▲
(+1.61)
Score analysis
Sporting Lisbon
66.76%
Draw
20.07%
Arouca
13.16%
Sporting Lisbon
2-0
@
12.58%
▲
(+0.57)
1-0 @ 12.44% ▲ (+0.84)
2-1 @ 9.64% ▼ (-0.11)
3-0 @ 8.49% ▲ (+0.19)
3-1 @ 6.5% ▼ (-0.24)
4-0 @ 4.29% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 3.29% ▼ (-0.21)
3-2 @ 2.49% ▼ (-0.24)
5-0 @ 1.74% ▼ (-0.05)
5-1 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.12)
4-2 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.16)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 66.76%
1-0 @ 12.44% ▲ (+0.84)
2-1 @ 9.64% ▼ (-0.11)
3-0 @ 8.49% ▲ (+0.19)
3-1 @ 6.5% ▼ (-0.24)
4-0 @ 4.29% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 3.29% ▼ (-0.21)
3-2 @ 2.49% ▼ (-0.24)
5-0 @ 1.74% ▼ (-0.05)
5-1 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.12)
4-2 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.16)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 66.76%
Draw
1-1
@
9.53%
▲
(+0.13)
0-0 @ 6.15% ▲ (+0.56)
2-2 @ 3.69% ▼ (-0.26)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 20.07%
0-0 @ 6.15% ▲ (+0.56)
2-2 @ 3.69% ▼ (-0.26)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 20.07%
Arouca
0-1
@
4.71%
▲
(+0.18)
1-2 @ 3.65% ▼ (-0.17)
0-2 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 13.16%
1-2 @ 3.65% ▼ (-0.17)
0-2 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 13.16%
Head to Head
Primeira Liga
Gameweek
28
-
Pedro Goncalves
87'
-
Antony
38'
Taca da Liga
-
Oday Dabbagh
58'
-
Paulinho
45'+7'
-
Paulinho
82'
Primeira Liga
Gameweek
11
-
Joao Basso
47'
Primeira Liga
Gameweek
25
-
Dario Essugo
26'
-
Sebastian Coates
36'
-
Islam Slimani
46'
-
Islam Slimani
52'
-
Tiago Esgaio
15'
-
David Simao
40'
-
Nino Galovic
65'
-
Alan Ruiz
85'
Primeira Liga
Gameweek
8
-
Arsenio Nunes
45'+1'
-
Oday Dabbagh
51'
-
Leandro Silva
63'
-
Tiago Araujo
85'
-
Matheus Nunes
16'
-
Pablo Sarabia
45'
-
Nuno Santos
54'
-
Paulinho
63'
-
Pedro Porro
63'
-
Daniel Braganca
77'
-
Tiago Tomas
90'+3'
Primeira Liga
-
Mateus
9'
-
Vitor Costa de Brito
26'
-
Filho Adilson
45'
-
Anderson Luis
80'
-
Alan Ruiz
23'
-
Alan Ruiz
34'
-
Bruno Cesar
36'
-
Daniel Castelo Podence
80'
-
William Carvalho
88'
-
Rui Patricio
94'