Primeira Liga | Gameweek 5

Sep 17, 2023 at 8.30pm UK

CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira

Sporting Lisbon
3 - 0
Moreirense

Hjulmand (55'), Gyokeres (61'), Diomande (90+6')
Inacio (4'), Santos (35'), Hjulmand (69')

FT(HT: 0-0)

de Brito Gonzaga (20'), Marcelo (49')
de Brito Gonzaga (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Moreirense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Braga 1-1 Sporting Lisbon
Sunday, September 3 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Moreirense

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Moreirense 2-3 Braga
Saturday, September 9 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 60.33%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 17.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.11%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.

Result
Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Moreirense
60.33% ( -2.5)	22.24% ( 0.79)	17.43% ( 1.71)

Both teams to score 49.59% (

1.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.73% (

-0.4)

48.26% (

0.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.59% (

-0.37)

70.41% (

0.36)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.43% (

-0.94)

15.57% (

0.94)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.48% (

-1.78)

44.52% (

1.78)

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.73% (

1.93)

41.27% (

-1.94)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.2% (

1.67)

77.79% (

-1.67)

Score Analysis

Sporting Lisbon 60.32%

Moreirense 17.43%

Draw 22.23%

Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Moreirense
1-0 @ 11.94% ( -0.2) 2-0 @ 11.11% ( -0.56) 2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 6.89% ( -0.59) 3-1 @ 6.1% ( -0.18) 4-0 @ 3.2% ( -0.39) 4-1 @ 2.84% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 2.7% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.19) 5-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.21% Total : 60.32%	1-1 @ 10.57% ( 0.38) 0-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.24) Other @ 0.88% Total : 22.23%	0-1 @ 5.69% ( 0.38) 1-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.4) 0-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.29) 1-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.13) Other @ 1.88% Total : 17.43%