Primeira Liga | Gameweek 3

Sep 9, 2023 at 6pm UK

Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas

Moreirense
2 - 3
Braga

Luis (40'), Madson (45+1')
de Brito Gonzaga (16'), Ofori (65')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Lopes (27'), Banza (82'), Elmusrati (90+6')
Fonte (32'), Moutinho (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Moreirense and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Moreirense

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Chaves 1-2 Moreirense
Sunday, September 3 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Braga

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Braga 1-1 Sporting Lisbon
Sunday, September 3 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 54.78%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 21.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.8%) and 0-2 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%), while for a Moreirense win it was 1-0 (6.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
Moreirense	Draw	Braga
21.76% ( -0.25)	23.46% ( -0.35)	54.78% ( 0.6)

Both teams to score 52.86% (

0.75)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.5% (

1.17)

47.49% (

-1.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.29% (

1.07)

69.7% (

-1.07)

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.85% (

0.41)

36.15% (

-0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.06% (

0.42)

72.93% (

-0.42)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.78% (

0.65)

17.21% (

-0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.49% (

1.13)

47.5% (

-1.13)

Score Analysis

Moreirense 21.76%

Braga 54.77%

Draw 23.46%

Moreirense	Draw	Braga
1-0 @ 6.33% ( -0.24) 2-1 @ 5.67% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 3.22% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 1.92% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.69% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.83% Total : 21.76%	1-1 @ 11.14% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 6.22% ( -0.31) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.46%	0-1 @ 10.94% ( -0.3) 1-2 @ 9.8% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 9.63% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 5.75% ( 0.15) 0-3 @ 5.65% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.11) 1-4 @ 2.53% ( 0.12) 0-4 @ 2.49% ( 0.09) 2-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.78% Total : 54.77%