Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 52.83%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 21.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.38%) and 1-2 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Moreirense win it was 1-0 (7.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
Result | ||
Moreirense | Draw | Braga |
21.73% | 25.44% | 52.83% |
Both teams to score 46.94% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.68% | 55.33% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.46% | 76.54% |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.39% | 40.61% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.8% | 77.2% |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.03% | 20.97% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.27% | 53.73% |
Score Analysis |
Moreirense | Draw | Braga |
1-0 @ 7.67% 2-1 @ 5.4% 2-0 @ 3.46% 3-1 @ 1.62% 3-2 @ 1.27% 3-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.27% Total : 21.73% | 1-1 @ 11.98% 0-0 @ 8.52% 2-2 @ 4.22% Other @ 0.72% Total : 25.44% | 0-1 @ 13.3% 0-2 @ 10.38% 1-2 @ 9.36% 0-3 @ 5.41% 1-3 @ 4.88% 2-3 @ 2.2% 0-4 @ 2.11% 1-4 @ 1.9% Other @ 3.28% Total : 52.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 30 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 87 | 27 | 60 | 80 |
2 | Benfica | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 68 | 24 | 44 | 73 |
3 | Porto | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 55 | 24 | 31 | 62 |
4 | Braga | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 57 |
6 | AroucaArouca | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 51 | 40 | 11 | 44 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 43 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 36 |
9 | Casa Pia | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 32 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 31 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 30 | 5 | 16 | 9 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 31 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 31 |
13 | BoavistaBoavista | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 30 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 30 | 62 | -32 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 29 | 62 | -33 | 21 |
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