Primeira Liga | Gameweek 4

Sep 3, 2023 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio Municipal de Braga

Braga
1 - 1
Sporting Lisbon

Djalo (78')
Niakate (45+4'), Jorge (45+6'), Carvalho (83')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Goncalves (25')
Gyokeres (27'), Morita (33'), Amorim (40'), Inacio (90'), Goncalves (90'), Diomande (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Panathinaikos 0-1 Braga
Tuesday, August 29 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 1-0 Famalicao
Sunday, August 27 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 37.52%. A win for Braga had a probability of 36.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest Braga win was 1-0 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
Braga	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
36.81% ( 0.46)	25.66% ( 0.09)	37.52% ( -0.55)

Both teams to score 55.4% (

-0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.32% (

-0.38)

48.68% (

0.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.2% (

-0.35)

70.79% (

0.35)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.23% (

0.08)

25.76% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.29% (

0.11)

60.71% (

-0.11)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.63% (

-0.48)

25.37% (

0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.83% (

-0.66)

60.16% (

0.66)

Score Analysis

Braga 36.81%

Sporting Lisbon 37.52%

Draw 25.66%

Braga	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 8.86% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 8.24% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 3.73% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.72% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.51% Total : 36.81%	1-1 @ 12.15% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.66%	0-1 @ 8.97% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.34% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 3.81% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.59% Total : 37.52%