/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F12%2Flislog.png)
-
Jusuf Gazibegovic
45'
-
William Boving
58'
-
David Affengruber
90'
-
Viktor Gyokeres
76'
-
Sebastian Coates
84'
-
Paulinho
90'+4'
Sturm Graz vs Sporting Lisbon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F21%2Fsporting-lisbon.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 50.76%. A win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 25.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.62%) and 0-2 (8.72%). The likeliest Sturm Graz win was 1-0 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Sturm Graz Goals
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Score analysis
2-1 @ 6.33% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 3.78% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 2.33% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.95% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.39% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 25.02%
0-0 @ 6.2% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.31% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.21%
1-2 @ 9.62% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 8.72% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 5.38% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 4.87% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.97% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 2.25% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 2.04% ▲ (+0.02)
2-4 @ 1.24%
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 50.76%