Europa League
Oct 5, 2023 5.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira
  • Viktor Gyokeres 76' goal
  • Pedro Goncalves 84' yellowcard
  • Daniel Braganca 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Giorgio Scalvini 33'
  • goal Matteo Ruggeri 43'
  • yellowcard Berat Djimsiti 51'
  • yellowcard Rafael Toloi 60'
  • yellowcard Sead Kolasinac 76'
  • yellowcard Gianluca Scamacca 90'+2'

Sporting Lisbon vs Atalanta BC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Sep 21, 2023 8.00pm
Sturm Graz 1 - 2 Sporting Lisbon

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Sep 21, 2023 8.00pm
Atalanta 2 - 0 Rakow

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 56.18%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for an Atalanta BC win it was 0-1 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result

Sporting Lisbon 56.18% ▲ (+0.51)
Draw 23.12% ▼ (-0.18)
Atalanta BC 20.7% ▼ (-0.34)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.42% ▲ (+0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.67% ▲ (+0.34)
Under 2.5 47.32% ▼ (-0.34)
Over 3.5 30.45% ▲ (+0.31)
Under 3.5 69.55% ▼ (-0.31)
Over 4.5 14.99% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 4.5 85.01% ▼ (-0.22)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5 83.35% ▲ (+0.30)
Under 0.5 16.65% ▼ (-0.30)
Over 1.5 53.5% ▲ (+0.54)
Under 1.5 46.5% ▼ (-0.54)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5 62.9% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 0.5 37.1% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 1.5 26.11% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 1.5 73.89% ▲ (+0.15)

Score analysis

Sporting Lisbon 56.18%
Draw 23.12%
Atalanta BC 20.7%
Sporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 11.07% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 9.93% ▲ (+0.07)
2-1 @ 9.84% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 5.93% ▲ (+0.10)
3-1 @ 5.88% ▲ (+0.08)
3-2 @ 2.92% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 2.66% ▲ (+0.07)
4-1 @ 2.64% ▲ (+0.06)
4-2 @ 1.31% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 4.01%
Total : 56.18%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.98% ▼ (-0.09)
0-0 @ 6.18% ▼ (-0.09)
2-2 @ 4.88% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.08%
Total : 23.12%
Atalanta BC
0-1 @ 6.13% ▼ (-0.11)
1-2 @ 5.44% ▼ (-0.07)
0-2 @ 3.04% ▼ (-0.07)
1-3 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.61% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 20.7%