Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 66.32%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 13.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.42%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.61%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 0-1 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Rio Ave |
| 66.32% ( | 20.24% ( | 13.44% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.64% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.66% ( | 47.33% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.44% ( | 69.55% ( |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.61% ( | 13.39% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.68% ( | 40.32% ( |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.85% ( | 46.15% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.16% ( | 81.83% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Rio Ave |
| 2-0 @ 12.49% ( 1-0 @ 12.42% ( 2-1 @ 9.66% ( 3-0 @ 8.37% ( 3-1 @ 6.47% ( 4-0 @ 4.21% ( 4-1 @ 3.25% ( 3-2 @ 2.5% ( 5-0 @ 1.69% ( 5-1 @ 1.31% ( 4-2 @ 1.26% ( Other @ 2.68% Total : 66.31% | 1-1 @ 9.61% ( 0-0 @ 6.18% ( 2-2 @ 3.74% ( Other @ 0.71% Total : 20.24% | 0-1 @ 4.78% ( 1-2 @ 3.72% ( 0-2 @ 1.85% ( 2-3 @ 0.96% ( 1-3 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 1.18% Total : 13.44% |