Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 66.32%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 13.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.42%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.61%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 0-1 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.