Arouca
Benfica
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Rio Ave
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 5
Sep 16, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
Famalicao logo

Rio Ave
1 - 1
Famalicao

Topic (49' og.)
Oudrhiri (64')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Cadiz (11')
Youssouf (26'), Topic (54'), Riccieli (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Rio Ave and Famalicao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rio Ave

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Casa Pia 1-1 Rio Ave
Saturday, September 2 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Famalicao

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Famalicao 1-0 Farense
Saturday, September 2 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 44.19%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 29.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Rio AveDrawFamalicao
44.19% (0.024000000000001 0.02)26.46%29.35% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 50.67% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.2%53.8% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.73%75.27% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.79% (0.012999999999991 0.01)24.21% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.45% (0.015000000000001 0.02)58.55% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Famalicao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.86% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)33.14% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.26% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)69.74% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Rio Ave 44.18%
    Famalicao 29.35%
    Draw 26.45%
Rio AveDrawFamalicao
1-0 @ 11.37%
2-1 @ 8.91% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 8.07% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.21% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 3.82% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.33%
4-1 @ 1.49% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.35% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 44.18%
1-1 @ 12.56%
0-0 @ 8.02% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.92% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.45%
0-1 @ 8.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 6.94% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 4.89% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 2.56% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 1.81% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.8% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 29.35%

How you voted: Rio Ave vs Famalicao

Rio Ave
43.3%
Draw
33.3%
Famalicao
23.3%
30
Head to Head
May 26, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 34
Rio Ave
2-2
Famalicao
Boateng (70'), Acevedo (82')
Samaris (65'), Ukra (74'), Patrick (75'), Freire (76'), Savio (87')
Lima (10'), Dobre (12')
Dobre (64'), Colombatto (75'), Rodrigues (83'), Otavio (90+8')
Youssouf (30')
> Preview
Jan 22, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 17
Famalicao
0-0
Rio Ave
> Preview
Feb 21, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 20
Rio Ave
0-1
Famalicao

Augusto (59')
Monte (29')
Ugarte (39')
Tavares (25'), Queiros (45+1'), Vinagre (52')
> Preview
Oct 4, 2020 6.30pm
Gameweek 3
Famalicao
1-1
Rio Ave
Lameiras (21')
Jordao (47'), Campana (55')
Aderlan (78')
Jan 31, 2020 9.15pm
Gameweek 19
Rio Ave
2-2
Famalicao
Gelson (63'), Tarantini (73')
Reis (42'), Figueiras (45'), Borevkovic (71'), Lopes (76')
Martinez (10'), Goncalves (37')
Racic (44'), Goncalves (84'), Riccieli (85')