Primeira Liga | Gameweek 7

Sep 30, 2023 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio de Sao Luis

Farense
2 - 3
Sporting Lisbon

Oliveira (37', 55')
Belloumi (58'), Oliveira (63'), Luis (85'), Velho (88'), Jorge (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Gyokeres (21' pen., 90' pen.), Goncalves (35')
Hjulmand (36'), Santos (53'), Braganca (84'), Inacio (85'), Goncalves (88'), Morita (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between SC Farense and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

SC Farense

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Farense 1-0 Tondela
Wednesday, September 27 at 7pm in Taca da Liga

Goals
for

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 2-0 Rio Ave
Monday, September 25 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 66.7%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 13.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.34%) and 1-2 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.34%), while for a SC Farense win it was 1-0 (4.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
SC Farense	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
13.66% ( 0.04)	19.64% ( 0.02)	66.7% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 49.16% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.72% (

-0.02)

44.27% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.35% (

-0.02)

66.65% (

0.02)

SC Farense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.09% (

0.05)

43.91% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.96% (

0.04)

80.04% (

-0.04)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.64% (

-0.03)

12.36% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.8% (

-0.05)

38.2% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

SC Farense 13.66%

Sporting Lisbon 66.69%

Draw 19.64%

SC Farense	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 4.47% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 3.84% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 1.84% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.1% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 1.36% Total : 13.66%	1-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.43% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.86% Total : 19.64%	0-2 @ 11.86% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 11.34% 1-2 @ 9.76% ( 0) 0-3 @ 8.27% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 6.8% ( -0) 0-4 @ 4.32% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 3.56% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.8% ( 0) 0-5 @ 1.81% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.49% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.46% Other @ 3.22% Total : 66.69%