Farense logo
Taca da Liga | Group Stage
Sep 27, 2023 at 7pm UK
Estadio de Sao Luis
Tondela

Farense
1 - 0
Tondela

Luis (14')
Goncalves (20'), Felipe (24')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Goncalves (77')
Coverage of the Taca da Liga Group Stage clash between SC Farense and Tondela.

Form, Standings, Stats

SC Farense

All competitions
Taca da Liga
Last Game: Moreirense 1-0 Farense
Saturday, September 23 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Tondela

All competitions
Taca da Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 0-1 Tondela
Saturday, September 9 at 8.30pm in Taca da Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Farense win with a probability of 37.23%. A win for Tondela had a probability of 36.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a SC Farense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Tondela win was 0-1 (9.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for SC Farense in this match.

Result
SC FarenseDrawTondela
37.23% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)26.74% (0.115 0.12)36.02% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 51.74% (-0.378 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.67% (-0.477 -0.48)53.32% (0.481 0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.13% (-0.405 -0.4)74.87% (0.408 0.41)
SC Farense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.29% (-0.27699999999999 -0.28)27.71% (0.279 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.73% (-0.359 -0.36)63.27% (0.363 0.36)
Tondela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.57% (-0.245 -0.25)28.42% (0.249 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.82% (-0.311 -0.31)64.18% (0.313 0.31)
Score Analysis
    SC Farense 37.22%
    Tondela 36.02%
    Draw 26.74%
SC FarenseDrawTondela
1-0 @ 10.1% (0.103 0.1)
2-1 @ 8.16% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.49% (0.021 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.49% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.78% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.2% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.12% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 37.22%
1-1 @ 12.71% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 7.88% (0.147 0.15)
2-2 @ 5.13% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.74%
0-1 @ 9.91% (0.118 0.12)
1-2 @ 8% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.23% (0.031 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.35% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.61% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.15% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.06% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 36.02%

Head to Head
May 15, 2021 3.30pm
Gameweek 33
Farense
1-0
Tondela
Gauld (79' pen.)
Queta (64'), Abner (90+7'), Beto (90+9'), Nogueira (90+10')

Olabe (66'), Agra (77')
Agra (80')
> Preview
Jan 30, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 16
Tondela
2-0
Farense
Pedro (46'), Barbosa (90+6')
Martinez (50'), Murillo (60'), Barbosa (79'), Bebeto (85'), Niasse (90')

Pinto (29')
> Preview