Vitoria de Guimaraes
Taca da Liga | Second Round
Sep 9, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
Tondela

Guimaraes
0 - 1
Tondela


Fernandes (28'), Safira (31'), Andre (59')
FT(HT: 0-0)
dos Anjos (56')
Bebeto (17'), Rocha (22'), dos Anjos (50'), Manuel Rodrigues Vieira Silva (60'), Gomes (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Taca da Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Tondela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions
Last Game: Benfica 4-0 Guimaraes
Saturday, September 2 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Tondela

All competitions
Taca da Liga
Last Game: Santa Clara 0-0 Tondela (2-4 pen.)
Saturday, July 29 at 3.30pm in Taca da Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 51.59%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 22.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Tondela win it was 0-1 (7.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawTondela
51.59% (1.474 1.47)25.7% (-0.594 -0.59)22.72% (-0.878 -0.88)
Both teams to score 47.4% (0.70200000000001 0.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.67% (1.41 1.41)55.34% (-1.409 -1.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.46% (1.144 1.14)76.55% (-1.143 -1.14)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.51% (1.227 1.23)21.49% (-1.227 -1.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.46% (1.852 1.85)54.54% (-1.851 -1.85)
Tondela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.37% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)39.63% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.69% (-0.044 -0.04)76.31% (0.046000000000006 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 51.58%
    Tondela 22.72%
    Draw 25.7%
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawTondela
1-0 @ 13.09% (-0.23 -0.23)
2-0 @ 10.06% (0.186 0.19)
2-1 @ 9.32% (0.165 0.17)
3-0 @ 5.16% (0.282 0.28)
3-1 @ 4.78% (0.254 0.25)
3-2 @ 2.21% (0.115 0.12)
4-0 @ 1.98% (0.176 0.18)
4-1 @ 1.84% (0.16 0.16)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 51.58%
1-1 @ 12.12% (-0.23 -0.23)
0-0 @ 8.52% (-0.475 -0.48)
2-2 @ 4.31% (0.071000000000001 0.07)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 25.7%
0-1 @ 7.89% (-0.45 -0.45)
1-2 @ 5.61% (-0.114 -0.11)
0-2 @ 3.65% (-0.214 -0.21)
1-3 @ 1.73% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.33% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.13% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 22.72%

How you voted: Guimaraes vs Tondela

Vitoria de Guimaraes
80.0%
Draw
0.0%
Tondela
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Apr 24, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 31
Tondela
1-1
Guimaraes
Barbosa (63')
Undabarrena (38'), dos Anjos (42')
Soares (67')
Estupinan (2'), Silva (22'), Semedo (70'), Almeida (77')
> Preview
Dec 11, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 14
Guimaraes
5-2
Tondela
Silva (32' pen.), Estupinan (41' pen.), Edwards (62' pen., 83'), Lameiras (88')
Handel (8'), Borevkovic (14'), Mumin (45')
Pedro (18' pen.), Undabarrena (27')
Almeida (28'), Quaresma (40'), Khacef (45+5'), Borges (57')
Hernando (61')
> Preview
Apr 4, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 25
Guimaraes
1-2
Tondela
Estupinan (39')
Fonseca Amaro (52'), Fernandes (80')
Gonzalez (27', 76')
> Preview
Nov 27, 2020 9pm
Gameweek 8
Tondela
0-2
Guimaraes

Pedro (47')
Agra (73')
Andre (56' pen.), Duarte (63')
Almeida (54'), Maddox (90+2')
> Preview
Mar 1, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 23
Guimaraes
2-0
Tondela
Duarte (24'), Andre (41')
Venancio (48')

Sampaio (76'), Moufi (82')