Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tondela win with a probability of 39.13%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 32.04% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tondela win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.89%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 0-1 (11.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tondela would win this match.
Result | ||
Tondela | Draw | SC Farense |
39.13% | 28.83% | 32.04% |
Both teams to score 44.92% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.43% | 61.57% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.58% | 81.42% |
Tondela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.39% | 30.61% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.15% | 66.84% |
SC Farense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.73% | 35.27% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.98% | 72.02% |
Score Analysis |
Tondela | Draw | SC Farense |
1-0 @ 12.77% 2-1 @ 7.89% 2-0 @ 7.57% 3-1 @ 3.11% 3-0 @ 2.99% 3-2 @ 1.62% 4-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.26% Total : 39.12% | 1-1 @ 13.31% 0-0 @ 10.79% 2-2 @ 4.11% Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.82% | 0-1 @ 11.25% 1-2 @ 6.94% 0-2 @ 5.86% 1-3 @ 2.41% 0-3 @ 2.04% 2-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.11% Total : 32.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Benfica | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 7 | 24 | 31 |
3 | Porto | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 31 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 24 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 21 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 15 |
11 | Casa Pia | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 14 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
16 | AVS | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 11 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 23 | -16 | 8 |
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