Primeira Liga Gameweek 16
Jan 30, 2021 6.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Joao Pedro 46' goal
  • Enzo Martinez 50' yellowcard
  • Jhon Murillo 60' yellowcard
  • Rafael Barbosa 79' yellowcard
  • Bebeto 85' yellowcard
  • Babacar Niasse 90' yellowcard
  • Rafael Barbosa 90'+6' goal
  • yellowcard Andre Pinto 29'

Tondela vs SC Farense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Tondela

All competitions
Last game
Jan 25, 2021 2.30pm
Belenenses 2 - 0 Tondela
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Mario Gonzalez

SC Farense

All competitions
Last game
Jan 25, 2021 8.15pm
Farense 0 - 1 Porto
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Ryan Gauld

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tondela win with a probability of 39.13%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 32.04% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tondela win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.89%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 0-1 (11.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tondela would win this match.

Result

Tondela 39.13%
Draw 28.83%
SC Farense 32.04%

Both Teams to Score: 

44.92%

Goals

Over 2.5 38.43%
Under 2.5 61.57%
Over 3.5 18.58%
Under 3.5 81.42%

Tondela Goals

Over 0.5 69.39%
Under 0.5 30.61%
Over 1.5 33.15%
Under 1.5 66.84%

SC Farense Goals

Over 0.5 64.73%
Under 0.5 35.27%
Over 1.5 27.98%
Under 1.5 72.02%

Score analysis

Tondela 39.12%
Draw 28.82%
SC Farense 32.04%
Tondela
1-0 @ 12.77%
2-1 @ 7.89%
2-0 @ 7.57%
3-1 @ 3.11%
3-0 @ 2.99%
3-2 @ 1.62%
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 39.12%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.31%
0-0 @ 10.79%
2-2 @ 4.11%
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 28.82%
SC Farense
0-1 @ 11.25%
1-2 @ 6.94%
0-2 @ 5.86%
1-3 @ 2.41%
0-3 @ 2.04%
2-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 32.04%