Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 64.39%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 15.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.4%) and 1-2 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.77%), while for a SC Farense win it was 1-0 (4.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| SC Farense | Draw | Porto |
| 15.07% | 20.54% | 64.39% |
| Both teams to score 49.85% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.75% | 45.25% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.41% | 67.59% |
| SC Farense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.51% | 42.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.14% | 78.86% |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.68% | 13.32% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.83% | 40.17% |
| Score Analysis |
| SC Farense | Draw | Porto |
| 1-0 @ 4.84% 2-1 @ 4.18% 2-0 @ 2.07% 3-2 @ 1.2% 3-1 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.58% Total : 15.07% | 1-1 @ 9.77% 0-0 @ 5.66% 2-2 @ 4.21% Other @ 0.9% Total : 20.54% | 0-2 @ 11.5% 0-1 @ 11.4% 1-2 @ 9.84% 0-3 @ 7.73% 1-3 @ 6.62% 0-4 @ 3.9% 1-4 @ 3.33% 2-3 @ 2.83% 0-5 @ 1.57% 2-4 @ 1.43% 1-5 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.89% Total : 64.38% |