Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 45.23%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 28.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (8.41%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 1-0 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atalanta BC in this match.