Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 38.9%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.83%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 1-0 (11.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hellas Verona | Draw | Roma |
| 32.14% ( | 28.96% ( | 38.9% ( |
| Both teams to score 44.61% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.03% ( | 61.97% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.29% ( | 81.71% |
| Hellas Verona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.59% ( | 35.4% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.83% ( | 72.17% ( |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.06% ( | 30.94% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.76% ( | 67.24% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Hellas Verona | Draw | Roma |
| 1-0 @ 11.37% 2-1 @ 6.93% ( 2-0 @ 5.91% ( 3-1 @ 2.4% ( 3-0 @ 2.04% ( 3-2 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.09% Total : 32.14% | 1-1 @ 13.34% 0-0 @ 10.95% 2-2 @ 4.06% Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.95% | 0-1 @ 12.85% 1-2 @ 7.83% ( 0-2 @ 7.54% ( 1-3 @ 3.06% ( 0-3 @ 2.95% ( 2-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 3.09% Total : 38.9% |