Hellas Verona logo
Coppa Italia | First Round
Aug 12, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi

Hellas Verona
3 - 1
Ascoli

Mboula (2'), Dawidowicz (45+3'), Djuric (47' pen.)
FT(HT: 2-1)
Forte (39' pen.)
Masini (12'), Simic (46')
Coverage of the Coppa Italia First Round clash between Hellas Verona and Ascoli.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hellas Verona

All competitions
Last Game: Spezia 1-3 Hellas Verona
Sunday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Ascoli

All competitions
Last Game: Reggina 1-0 Ascoli
Friday, May 19 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 45.29%. A win for Ascoli had a probability of 28.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Ascoli win was 0-1 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hellas Verona would win this match.

Result
Hellas VeronaDrawAscoli
45.29% (-0.077999999999996 -0.08)26.26% (0.021000000000001 0.02)28.45% (0.059000000000001 0.06)
Both teams to score 50.76% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.56% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)53.44% (0.055 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.03% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)74.97% (0.045999999999992 0.05)
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.48% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)23.52% (0.061 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.43% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)57.57% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Ascoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.37% (0.015000000000001 0.02)33.63% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.72% (0.016000000000002 0.02)70.28% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Hellas Verona 45.28%
    Ascoli 28.45%
    Draw 26.25%
Hellas VeronaDrawAscoli
1-0 @ 11.44%
2-1 @ 9.03% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.29% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.36% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.37% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.58% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.45% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 45.28%
1-1 @ 12.47% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.91% (0.017 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.92% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.25%
0-1 @ 8.62% (0.022 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.8% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.7% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.47% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.79%
0-3 @ 1.71% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 28.45%

How you voted: Hellas Verona vs Ascoli

Hellas Verona
83.3%
Draw
0.0%
Ascoli
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Mar 16, 2019 5pm
Gameweek 29
Hellas Verona
1-1
Ascoli
Pazzini (36')
Gustafson (19'), Marrone (27'), Di Gaudio (90')
Seung-Woo (85')
Rosseti (10')
Addae (39'), Ninkovic (45'), Beretta (58')
Oct 30, 2018 8pm
Gameweek 10
Ascoli
1-0
Hellas Verona
Cavion (85')
Ninkovic (23'), Cavion (76'), Addae (84')

Balkovec (26')