Spezia 1-3 Hellas Verona - Serie A - June 11, 2023 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

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Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A relegation playoff between Spezia and Hellas Verona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Ampadu (15')
Reca (71'), Esposito (77')

FT(HT: 1-3)

Faraoni (5'), Ngonge (26', 38')
Hien (14'), Depaoli (28'), Dawidowicz (31'), Montipo (66'), Ngonge (70')
Faraoni (68')

The Match

More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Spezia

All competitions

Last Game: Roma 2-1 Spezia
Sunday, June 4 at 8pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Hellas Verona

All competitions

Last Game: AC Milan 3-1 Hellas Verona
Sunday, June 4 at 8pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Spezia 1-1 Hellas Verona (Spezia win on penalties)

Only once has a Serie A relegation playoff been decided by a penalty shootout - in 1995, Genoa were demoted on spot-kicks - and in the event of a tie at the end of 90 minutes this Sunday, the game would go straight to penalties without extra time. Neither team has been sharp enough in the final third this season, so after a low-scoring draw in Sassuolo it could ultimately come down to who holds their nerve from 12 yards. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 39.69%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 31.92% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.07%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 0-1 (10.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
Spezia	Draw	Hellas Verona
39.69%	28.39%	31.92%

Both teams to score 46.12%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.93%

60.07%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.71%

80.29%

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.47%

29.53%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.45%

65.55%

Hellas Verona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.45%

34.55%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.73%

71.27%

Score Analysis

Spezia 39.69%

Hellas Verona 31.92%

Draw 28.38%

Spezia	Draw	Hellas Verona
1-0 @ 12.44% 2-1 @ 8.07% 2-0 @ 7.59% 3-1 @ 3.28% 3-0 @ 3.09% 3-2 @ 1.74% 4-1 @ 1% 4-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.54% Total : 39.69%	1-1 @ 13.22% 0-0 @ 10.2% 2-2 @ 4.29% Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.38%	0-1 @ 10.84% 1-2 @ 7.03% 0-2 @ 5.76% 1-3 @ 2.49% 0-3 @ 2.04% 2-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.24% Total : 31.92%

How you voted: Spezia vs Hellas Verona

Spezia

40.7%

Draw

27.8%

Hellas Verona

31.5%

Head to Head

Mar 5, 2023 11.30am

gameweek 25

0-0

Nov 13, 2022 2pm

gameweek 15

1-2

Verdi (30')

N'Zola (53', 69')

Jan 6, 2022 1.30pm

gameweek 20

1-2

Erlic (85')
Verde (75'), Agudelo (78'), Zoet (87')
Agudelo (87')

Caprari (59', 70')
Veloso (29'), Casale (45')

Oct 3, 2021 2pm

gameweek 7

4-0

Simeone (4'), Faraoni (15'), Caprari (42'), Bessa (71')
Caprari (28')

Ferrer (40')
Bastoni (82')

May 1, 2021 2pm

gameweek 34

1-1

Salcedo (46')
Zaccagni (15'), Dawidowicz (38'), Sturaro (40'), Ilic (69'), Tameze (71'), Faraoni (84')

Saponara (86')
N'Zola (13'), Chabot (50')