Serie A

Jun 11, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

MAPEI Stadium - Citta del Tricolore

Spezia
1 - 3
Hellas Verona

Ampadu (15')

FT(HT: 1-3)

Faraoni (5'), Ngonge (26', 38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A relegation playoff between Spezia and Hellas Verona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spezia

All competitions

Last Game: Roma 2-1 Spezia
Sunday, June 4 at 8pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Hellas Verona

All competitions

Last Game: AC Milan 3-1 Hellas Verona
Sunday, June 4 at 8pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 39.69%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 31.92% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.07%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 0-1 (10.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
Spezia	Draw	Hellas Verona
39.69%	28.39%	31.92%

Both teams to score 46.12%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.93%

60.07%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.71%

80.29%

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.47%

29.53%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.45%

65.55%

Hellas Verona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.45%

34.55%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.73%

71.27%

Score Analysis

Spezia 39.69%

Hellas Verona 31.92%

Draw 28.38%

Spezia	Draw	Hellas Verona
1-0 @ 12.44% 2-1 @ 8.07% 2-0 @ 7.59% 3-1 @ 3.28% 3-0 @ 3.09% 3-2 @ 1.74% 4-1 @ 1% 4-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.54% Total : 39.69%	1-1 @ 13.22% 0-0 @ 10.2% 2-2 @ 4.29% Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.38%	0-1 @ 10.84% 1-2 @ 7.03% 0-2 @ 5.76% 1-3 @ 2.49% 0-3 @ 2.04% 2-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.24% Total : 31.92%