Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 41.17%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 32.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 0-1 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sassuolo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sassuolo | Draw | Hellas Verona |
| 41.17% ( | 26.76% ( | 32.07% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.96% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.01% ( | 53.99% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.57% ( | 75.43% ( |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.16% ( | 25.83% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.2% ( | 60.8% ( |
| Hellas Verona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.71% ( | 31.29% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.35% ( | 67.65% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sassuolo | Draw | Hellas Verona |
| 1-0 @ 10.94% 2-1 @ 8.6% ( 2-0 @ 7.41% ( 3-1 @ 3.88% ( 3-0 @ 3.34% ( 3-2 @ 2.26% ( 4-1 @ 1.31% ( 4-0 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 2.3% Total : 41.17% | 1-1 @ 12.71% ( 0-0 @ 8.08% ( 2-2 @ 5% ( Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.76% | 0-1 @ 9.39% ( 1-2 @ 7.38% ( 0-2 @ 5.46% ( 1-3 @ 2.86% ( 0-3 @ 2.11% ( 2-3 @ 1.94% Other @ 2.93% Total : 32.07% |