Serie A | Gameweek 3
Sep 1, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
MAPEI Stadium - Citta del Tricolore
Sassuolo3 - 1Hellas Verona
We said: Sassuolo 0-0 Hellas Verona
Despite their fine start, Verona may still find it tough to make it three from three against a Sassuolo side who have more quality than their disappointing start shows. If Dionisi can welcome Berardi back into the side, then that should give the side a huge boost, and it should be a closer encounter despite their differing form. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 41.17%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 32.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 0-1 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sassuolo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sassuolo | Draw | Hellas Verona |
41.17% ( -0.12) | 26.76% ( 0.02) | 32.07% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 50.96% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
