Taca de Portugal
Oct 21, 2023 7.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Dr. Machado de Matos
  • Leo Ca 66' goal
  • Afonso Silva 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alfonso Trezza 3'
  • yellowcard Francisco Montero 11'
  • goal Alfonso Trezza 48'
  • yellowcard Weverson 89'
  • goal Eboue Kouassi 90'+2'
  • goal Rafa Mujica 90'+7'

Felgueiras 1932 vs Arouca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Felgueiras 1932

Arouca

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 42.89%. A win for Felgueiras 1932 had a probability of 31.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Felgueiras 1932 win was 1-0 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arouca would win this match.

Result

Felgueiras 1932 31.89% (-0.30)
Draw 25.22% (+0.03)
Arouca 42.89% (+0.27)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.85% (-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.35% (-0.21)
Under 2.5 47.65% (+0.22)
Over 3.5 30.16% (-0.20)
Under 3.5 69.85% (+0.20)
Over 4.5 14.78% (-0.14)
Under 4.5 85.22% (+0.14)

Felgueiras 1932 Goals

Over 0.5 71.76% (-0.30)
Under 0.5 28.24% (+0.30)
Over 1.5 36.05% (-0.37)
Under 1.5 63.95% (+0.38)

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5 77.83% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 22.17% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 44.43% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 55.57% (-0.06)

Score analysis

Felgueiras 1932 31.89%
Draw 25.22%
Arouca 42.89%
Felgueiras 1932
1-0 @ 7.92% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 7.54% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 5.01% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 3.18% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.39% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 2.11% (-0.04)
4-1 @ 1.01% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 31.89%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.92% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 6.26% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 5.68% (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.22%
Arouca
0-1 @ 9.43% (+0.10)
1-2 @ 8.98% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 7.1% (+0.08)
1-3 @ 4.51% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 3.57% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.85% (-0.02)
1-4 @ 1.7% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.34% (+0.02)
2-4 @ 1.07% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 42.89%