Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 30.87% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 (9.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Real Sociedad |
30.87% ( -1) | 27.2% ( -0.37) | 41.93% ( 1.37) |
Both teams to score 49.18% ( 0.74) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.95% ( 1.11) | 56.04% ( -1.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.87% ( 0.89) | 77.12% ( -0.89) |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.81% ( -0.14) | 33.19% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.2% ( -0.15) | 69.8% ( 0.14) |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.62% ( 1.26) | 26.37% ( -1.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.47% ( 1.65) | 61.53% ( -1.65) |
Score Analysis |
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Real Sociedad |
1-0 @ 9.66% ( -0.46) 2-1 @ 7.1% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 5.32% ( -0.27) 3-1 @ 2.61% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 1.96% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 1.74% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.49% Total : 30.87% | 1-1 @ 12.86% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 8.75% ( -0.38) 2-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.19% | 0-1 @ 11.66% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 8.58% ( 0.21) 0-2 @ 7.78% ( 0.22) 1-3 @ 3.81% ( 0.22) 0-3 @ 3.45% ( 0.22) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.12) 1-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.12) 0-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.13% Total : 41.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 33 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 71 | 22 | 49 | 84 |
2 | GironaGirona | 33 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 69 | 40 | 29 | 71 |
3 | Barcelona | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 64 | 37 | 27 | 70 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 33 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 62 | 39 | 23 | 64 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 33 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 51 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 48 |
8 | Valencia | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 47 |
9 | Getafe | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 43 |
10 | Villarreal | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 42 |
11 | Osasuna | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 39 |
12 | AlavesAlaves | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 38 |
13 | Sevilla | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 37 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 37 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Mallorca | 32 | 6 | 13 | 13 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 31 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 32 | 4 | 13 | 15 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 25 |
19 | Granada | 32 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 33 | 61 | -28 | 18 |
20 | Almeria | 33 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 32 | 67 | -35 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |